FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie ended 2:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · FC Groningen at 51.0% - the match finished 2:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · FC Groningen
X
2 · Fortuna Sittard
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
45.9%
24.4%
29.7%
Home win · FC Groningen
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
51.0%
24.2%
24.8%
Home win · FC Groningen
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · FC Groningen
✘ Missed
Final score
2:3
Away win · Fortuna Sittard
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.48 on a FC Groningen win, 4.66 on the draw and 5.77 on a Fortuna Sittard win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
FC Groningen win
1.48
1.5210Bet
67.6%
51%
Draw
4.66
4.90Dafabet
21.5%
24.2%
Fortuna Sittard win
5.77
6.40Betano
17.3%
24.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.46
1.52Pinnacle
68.5%
62.3%
Under 2.5 goals
2.62
2.7010Bet
38.2%
37.7%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.57
1.62Bet365
63.7%
62.7%
Both teams to score - No
2.29
2.45Betfair
43.7%
37.3%
Updated: 28.08.2026 15:59 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard
4′🟨R. Guth · Yellow card
12′⚽M. Ihattaren · Goal (assist: L. Zeefuik)
19′⚽D. van der Werff · Goal (assist: J. Schreuders)
28′⚽L. Zeefuik · Goal (assist: E. Michut)
64′🔄T. Land · Substitution (off: J. Ondrejka)
64′🔄B. Willumsson · Substitution (off: O. Zawada)
65′🟨J. Ondrejka · Yellow card
68′🔄M. Ihattaren · Substitution (off: N. de Groot)
69′🟨J. Hubner · Yellow card
72′⚽A. Descotte · Goal (assist: E. Michut)
80′🔄S. Zand · Substitution (off: Y. Oukili)
81′🔄R. Guth · Substitution (off: S. van Ottele)
81′🔄W. Prins · Substitution (off: T. Hernes)
82′🔄M. Csinger · Substitution (off: N. Eggens)
82′🔄D. van der Werff · Substitution (off: A. Nordin)
87′⚽J. Hubner · Own goal
88′🟨E. Vaessen · Yellow card
90+1′🟨E. Michut · Yellow card
90+4′🔄A. Descotte · Substitution (off: M. Gbemou)
90+7′🟨T. Hernes · Yellow card
Match statistics: FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard
Statistic
FC Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Possession
68%
32%
Shots on target
2
5
Total shots
22
9
Shots off target
15
1
Blocked shots
5
3
Corners
7
2
Fouls
7
8
Offsides
3
1
Yellow cards
3
3
Saves
2
1
Passes
550
279
Pass accuracy
87%
74%
Line-ups: FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard
FC Groningen 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Etienne Vaessen 5.9
2 Wouter Prins 5.9
3 Thijmen Blokzijl 6.5
4 Márk Csinger 6.2
8 Tika de Jonge 7.7
9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson 6.7
14 Jorg Schreuders 6.2
17 David van der Werff 8.0
18 Tygo Land 6.6
24 Pelle Clement 6.3
26 Thom van Bergen 6.9
Substitutes (12)
7 Travis Hernes 6.6
11 Jacob Ondrejka 6.6
12 Nikolas Brandis
13 Lovro Štubljar
15 Elvis Van der Laan
16 Alvin Nordin 6.3
19 Oskar Zawada 6.7
20 Nils Eggens 6.5
42 Jesper Mosselaar
44 Jismerai Dillema
53 Jahelille Hall
73 Daan Erdman
Fortuna Sittard 5-3-2
Starting XI
3 Rodrigo Guth 6.9
8 Jasper Dahlhaus 6.0
9 Anthony Descotte 7.7
12 Ivo Pinto 6.3
20 Édouard Michut 7.7
22 Shiloh 't Zand 6.5
23 Philip Brittijn 6.5
25 Lequincio Zeefuik 7.9
28 Justin Hubner 5.7
31 Mattijs Branderhorst 6.3
52 Mohamed Ihattaren 8.0
Substitutes (9)
1 Luuk Koopmans
5 Yassin Oukili 6.7
6 Syb Van Ottele 6.2
15 Nick de Groot 6.2
33 Kaylen Reitmaier
36 Alhaji Bah
38 Moussa Gbemou
39 Ganni Buyukhan
44 David Stockbrink
Form and head-to-head: FC Groningen v Fortuna Sittard
