Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax in Eredivisie ended 1:5. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Ajax at 58.3% - the match finished 1:5, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Fortuna Sittard X 2 · Ajax Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.5% 23.7% 35.8% Home win · Fortuna Sittard ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 21.9% 19.9% 58.3% Away win · Ajax ✔ Correct
Final score 1:5 Away win · Ajax
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 6.57 on a Fortuna Sittard win, 4.98 on the draw and 1.39 on a Ajax win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Fortuna Sittard win 6.57 7.00 Bet365 15.2% 21.9%
Draw 4.98 5.25 BetVictor 20.1% 19.9%
Ajax win 1.39 1.42 Dafabet 71.9% 58.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.35 1.39 Betano 74.1% 74.3%
Under 2.5 goals 3.00 3.11 Pinnacle 33.3% 25.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.51 1.53 Bet365 66.2% 66.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.41 2.45 William Hill 41.5% 33.3%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

  1. 6′Jorthy Mokio · Yellow card
  2. 23′Youri Baas · Yellow card
  3. 35′Julian Brandt · Goal
  4. 44′Lequincio Zeefuik · Yellow card

Match statistics: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Statistic Fortuna Sittard Ajax
Possession 26% 74%
Shots on target 2 5
Total shots 3 13
Shots off target 0 5
Blocked shots 1 3
Corners 1 6
Fouls 4 5
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 2
Passes 130 370

Line-ups: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Fortuna Sittard 5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 Rodrigo Guth 6.4
  2. 8 J. Dahlhaus 6.4
  3. 10 O. Romeny 5.9
  4. 12 Ivo Pinto 6.3
  5. 20 É. Michut 6.9
  6. 22 Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand 6.3
  7. 23 P. Brittijn 6.2
  8. 25 L. Zeefuik 6.1
  9. 28 Justin Quincy Hubner 6.5
  10. 31 M. Branderhorst 7.2
  11. 52 M. Ihattaren 6.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 L. Koopmans
  2. 6 S. van Ottele
  3. 9 A. Descotte
  4. 15 N. de Groot
  5. 33 K. Reitmaier
  6. 35 K. van Burgsteden
  7. 38 Moussa Gbemou
  8. 39 Ganni Buyukhan
  9. 44 David Stockbrink

Ajax 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 M. ter Stegen 7.5
  2. 3 A. Gaaei 7.5
  3. 4 S. Amrabat 7.2
  4. 6 T. Kehrer 7.3
  5. 8 J. Brandt 8.2
  6. 12 Caio Henrique 7.0
  7. 15 Y. Baas 6.7
  8. 20 O. Edvardsen 6.7
  9. 23 S. Berghuis 7.2
  10. 24 J. Mokio 6.9
  11. 99 T. Arokodare 6.8
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Lucas Rosa
  2. 5 O. Wijndal
  3. 9 K. Dolberg
  4. 10 O. Gloukh
  5. 11 V. Tsygankov
  6. 18 D. Klaassen
  7. 21 Jofre Torrents
  8. 22 J. Heerkens
  9. 26 M. Paes
  10. 36 D. Janse
  11. 38 Marcos Leonardo
  12. 68 A. Ouazane

Form and head-to-head: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Fortuna Sittard

WWLWD

Ajax

LWWWD

Eredivisie standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 AZ 6 5 1 0 +11 16 DWWWW
2 PSV 5 4 1 0 +12 13 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +6 11 WDWDW
4 Excelsior 5 3 1 1 +7 10 DWWLW
5 FC Twente 5 3 1 1 +5 10 WDWWL
6 Fortuna Sittard 5 3 1 1 +2 10 WWLWD
7 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 +2 8 DLWDW
8 Ajax 4 2 1 1 +4 7 LWDW
9 NEC Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 +2 7 DLWWL
10 FC Groningen 5 2 1 2 -1 7 DLLWW
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 0 5 DLDWL
12 SC Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 -2 5 LDLDW
13 PEC Zwolle 5 1 1 3 -4 4 DLWLL
14 Telstar 5 1 1 3 -6 4 LDLLW
15 FC Utrecht 5 0 2 3 -9 2 DLDLL
16 Willem II 5 0 2 3 -9 2 DLDLL
17 ADO Den Haag 5 0 1 4 -8 1 LDLLL
18 SC Cambuur 5 0 1 4 -12 1 DLLLL

Managers: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

D. Buijs
Fortuna SittardManagerD. Buijs
Michel
AjaxManagerMichel

Match information: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Kick-off
·
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
6
Venue
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
City
Sittard