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FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

Kazakh Premier League
FK Tobol Kostanay
3:1
Full time
Ulytau

FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau in Kazakh Premier League ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · FK Tobol Kostanay at 49.2% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · FK Tobol Kostanay X 2 · Ulytau Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.1% 27.3% 20.6% Home win · FK Tobol Kostanay ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% Home win · FK Tobol Kostanay ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · FK Tobol Kostanay
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.80 on a FK Tobol Kostanay win, 3.48 on the draw and 3.84 on a Ulytau win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
FK Tobol Kostanay win 1.80 1.84 1xBet 55.6% 49.2%
Draw 3.48 3.65 1xBet 28.7% 25.8%
Ulytau win 3.84 4.07 1xBet 26% 25%
Over 2.5 goals 1.86 1.95 Bet365 53.8% 49.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.89 1.93 Pinnacle 52.9% 50.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.72 1.73 William Hill 58.1% 50.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.98 2.00 William Hill 50.5% 49.9%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:20 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

  1. 16′U. Milovanovic · Goal (assist: A. Talal)
  2. 20′V. Lisakovich · Yellow card
  3. 37′A. Akhmedov · Goal (assist: I. Chernyak)
  4. 39′D. Carmona Sierra · Yellow card
  5. 45+1′A. Tagybergen · Yellow card
  6. 55′A. Zuev · Yellow card
  7. 57′A. Bougnone · Substitution (off: R. Serikkul)
  8. 60′V. Lisakovich · Goal (assist: A. Zuev)
  9. 62′R. Asrankulov · Substitution (off: A. Borsic)
  10. 62′A. Zuev · Substitution (off: L. Guerra)
  11. 63′A. Talal · Yellow card
  12. 70′H. Harada · Substitution (off: A. Taubay)
  13. 70′A. Akhmedov · Substitution (off: O. Nurali)
  14. 72′O. Nurali · Yellow card
  15. 76′A. Talal · Substitution (off: Z. Zhumashev)
  16. 90+1′U. Milovanovic · Goal (assist: Z. Zhumashev)
  17. 90+3′K. Kishi · Substitution (off: B. Daniyarov)

Line-ups: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

FK Tobol Kostanay 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Sultan Busurmanov
  2. 3 Roman Asrankulov
  3. 4 Nemanja Cavnić
  4. 5 Pape Alioune Ndiaye
  5. 6 Maksim Myakish
  6. 8 Askhat Tagybergen
  7. 14 Amine Talal
  8. 17 Aleksander Zuev
  9. 18 Uroš Milovanović
  10. 21 Nauryzbek Zhagorov
  11. 99 Vitaliy Lisakovich
Substitutes (10)
  1. 19 Dauren Zhumat
  2. 22 Aleksandr Marochkin
  3. 25 Antonio Boršić
  4. 30 Luis Guerra
  5. 35 Yuriy Melikhov
  6. 38 Amanzhol Bakytzhanov
  7. 45 Zhaslan Zhumashev
  8. 51 David Mukhin
  9. 56 Emin Musaev
  10. 57 Azamat Zinadin

Ulytau 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Dmytro Nepohodov
  2. 2 David Carmona
  3. 7 Kotaro Kishi
  4. 8 Beka Vachiberadze
  5. 12 Vadim Afanasenko
  6. 13 Aslan Akhmedov
  7. 14 Hiroki Harada
  8. 18 Arthur Bougnone
  9. 22 Ilya Chernyak
  10. 28 Georgiy Bugulov
  11. 69 Daniel Maulenov
Substitutes (9)
  1. 6 Kuandyk Nursultanov
  2. 9 Rinat Serikkul
  3. 10 Abzal Taubay
  4. 17 Bagdat Daniyarov
  5. 21 Orken Nurali
  6. 40 Stanislav Shcherbakov
  7. 77 Magzhan Shauymbay
  8. 78 Timurbek Zakirov
  9. 88 Iliyas Abdilda

Form and head-to-head: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

FK Tobol Kostanay

WLWWL
  • AKairat4–1W
  • AKaspiy0–1L
  • HKaisar3–2W
  • AIrtysh2–0W
  • AOrdabasy0–2L

Ulytau

LWLDL
  • HAltay0–3L
  • HZhetysu3–0W
  • AKairat1–3L
  • AKaspiy1–1D
  • HAstana0–2L

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

FK Tobol Kostanay wins: 0; draws: 0; Ulytau wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Ulytau 2–1 FK Tobol Kostanay Kazakh Premier League

Kazakh Premier League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Ordabasy 24 17 4 3 +29 55 LWWWW
2 Kairat 23 16 6 1 +32 54 WWWWW
3 Astana 23 13 6 4 +17 45 WWDWW
4 Okzhetpes 24 12 6 6 +5 42 WWWLW
5 Aktobe 24 11 5 8 +6 38 WLWDL
6 Yelimay Semey 23 8 8 7 -1 32 LLDWD
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 24 9 4 11 -3 31 WLWWL
8 Ulytau 24 8 7 9 -5 31 LWLDL
9 Zhenys 23 7 8 8 -3 29 LWWDL
10 Kaspiy 24 7 5 12 -9 26 LWDDL
11 Kyzyl-Zhar 24 6 6 12 -9 24 LLDDW
12 Atyrau 23 4 11 8 -6 23 WLLDD
13 Zhetysu 24 5 7 12 -16 22 WLLLD
14 Irtysh 23 4 8 11 -10 20 LWLLW
15 Kaisar 24 3 11 10 -12 20 LLLLD
16 Altay 24 4 8 12 -15 20 WLLDL

Managers: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

M. Romashchenko
FK Tobol KostanayManagerM. Romashchenko
Nurken Mazbaev
UlytauManagerNurken Mazbaev

Match information: FK Tobol Kostanay v Ulytau

Kick-off
·
Competition
Kazakh Premier League
Round
Regular Season – 25