Kairat v FK Tobol Kostanay in Kazakh Premier League ended 1:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Kairat v FK Tobol Kostanay
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Kairat at 52.1% - the match finished 1:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Kairat
X
2 · FK Tobol Kostanay
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
47.5%
27.7%
24.7%
Home win · Kairat
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
52.1%
19.9%
28.0%
Home win · Kairat
✘ Missed
Final score
1:4
Away win · FK Tobol Kostanay
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.67 on a Kairat win, 3.67 on the draw and 4.50 on a FK Tobol Kostanay win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Kairat win
1.67
1.831xBet
59.9%
52.1%
Draw
3.67
3.75Unibet
27.2%
19.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay win
4.50
5.20Unibet
22.2%
28%
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
1.881xBet
55.6%
56.7%
Under 2.5 goals
1.94
2.00Unibet
51.5%
43.3%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.76
1.801xBet
56.8%
56.6%
Both teams to score - No
1.90
1.921xBet
52.6%
43.5%
Updated: 10.09.2026 23:32 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Kairat v FK Tobol Kostanay
18′⚽U. Milovanovic · Penalty
28′🟨M. Myakish · Yellow card
34′🔄L. Kurgin · Substitution (off: A. Tuyakbaev)
40′⚽M. Gual · Goal (assist: Edmilson)
44′⚽U. Milovanovic · Goal (assist: V. Lisakovich)
46′🔄O. Baybek · Substitution (off: Lucas Africo)
58′🔄O. Jukkola · Substitution (off: I. Bekbolat)
63′⚽V. Lisakovich · Goal (assist: A. Tagybergen)
64′🟨M. Gual · Yellow card
80′⚽L. Guerra · Goal
82′🔄A. Talal · Substitution (off: D. Zhumat)
83′🔄A. Martynovich · Substitution (off: A. Shirobokov)
