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Germany v Paraguay

World Cup
Germany
1:1
Full time
Paraguay

Germany v Paraguay in World Cup The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Germany v Paraguay

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Germany at 66.0% - the match finished 1:1 (decided on penalties), so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Germany X 2 · Paraguay Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 59.9% 21.8% 18.2% Home win · Germany ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 66.0% 23.0% 11.0% Home win · Germany ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 (decided on penalties) Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)
1 - home65.7%
X - draw21.2%
2 - away13.1%
Double chance
1X - home/draw86.9%
12 - no draw78.8%
X2 - away/draw34.3%
Both teams to score
Yes42.1%
No57.9%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5
Over 1.572.7%
Under 1.527.3%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.3%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.526.4%
Under 3.573.7%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.516.6%
Under 4.583.4%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5
Over 0.584.1%
Under 0.515.9%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.555.9%
Under 1.544.2%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.529.6%
Under 2.570.4%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.512.9%
Under 3.587.1%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5
Over 0.543.5%
Under 0.556.5%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.513.4%
Under 1.586.6%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.53.0%
Under 2.597.0%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.50.5%
Under 3.599.5%

Correct score

Most likely correct score
1:014.2%
2:013.2%
1:19.8%
2:19.1%

Match events: Germany v Paraguay

  1. 42′Julio Enciso · Goal (assist: Matías Galarza Fonda)
  2. 46′Leon Goretzka · Substitution (off: Felix Nmecha)
  3. 54′Kai Havertz · Goal (assist: Florian Wirtz)
  4. 55′Gustavo Caballero · Substitution (off: Gabriel Ávalos)
  5. 57′Mauricio · Substitution (off: Julio Enciso)
  6. 63′Jamal Musiala · Substitution (off: Deniz Undav)
  7. 65′Andrés Cubas · Yellow card
  8. 79′Waldemar Anton · Substitution (off: Aleksandar Pavlovic)
  9. 88′Nick Woltemade · Substitution (off: Leroy Sané)
  10. 91′Gustavo Velázquez · Substitution (off: Miguel Almirón)
  11. 99′Braian Ojeda · Substitution (off: Juan José Cáceres)
  12. 99′Antonio Sanabria · Substitution (off: Damián Bobadilla)
  13. 105′Gustavo Alfaro · Yellow card
  14. 105+1′Julian Nagelsmann · Yellow card
  15. 106′Kai Havertz · Yellow card
  16. 110′Nadiem Amiri · Substitution (off: Florian Wirtz)
  17. 110′Malick Thiaw · Substitution (off: Antonio Rüdiger)
  18. 115′Jamal Musiala · Yellow card
  19. 117′Matías Galarza Fonda · Yellow card
  20. 120+2′Fabián Balbuena · Substitution (off: Júnior Alonso)

Match statistics: Germany v Paraguay

Statistic Germany Paraguay
Possession 76% 24%
Shots on target 6 3
Total shots 21 7
Shots off target 7 2
Blocked shots 2 6
Corners 1 1
Fouls 18 12
Offsides 4 1
Yellow cards 5 14
Red cards 12 5
Saves 0 7
Passes 805 255
Pass accuracy 90% 63%

Line-ups: Germany v Paraguay

Germany 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Manuel Neuer 7.0
  2. 2 Antonio Rüdiger 7.1
  3. 4 Jonathan Tah 7.4
  4. 5 Aleksandar Pavlovic 6.7
  5. 6 Joshua Kimmich 7.7
  6. 7 Kai Havertz 7.4
  7. 17 Florian Wirtz 8.3
  8. 18 Nathaniel Brown 7.2
  9. 19 Leroy Sané 6.1
  10. 23 Felix Nmecha 6.4
  11. 26 Deniz Undav 6.4
Substitutes (14)
  1. 3 Waldemar Anton 6.9
  2. 8 Leon Goretzka 6.5
  3. 9 Jamie Leweling
  4. 10 Jamal Musiala 6.6
  5. 11 Nick Woltemade 6.8
  6. 12 Oliver Baumann
  7. 13 Pascal Groß
  8. 14 Maximilian Beier
  9. 16 Angelo Stiller
  10. 20 Nadiem Amiri 6.6
  11. 21 Alexander Nübel
  12. 22 David Raum
  13. 24 Malick Thiaw 6.5
  14. 25 Assan Ouédraogo

Paraguay 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 4 Juan José Cáceres 6.6
  2. 6 Júnior Alonso 6.6
  3. 10 Miguel Almirón 6.8
  4. 12 Orlando Gill 7.8
  5. 13 José Canale 7.6
  6. 14 Andrés Cubas 7.0
  7. 15 Gustavo Gómez 6.7
  8. 16 Damián Bobadilla 7.0
  9. 19 Julio Enciso 7.1
  10. 21 Gabriel Ávalos 6.5
  11. 23 Matías Galarza Fonda 7.0
Substitutes (14)
  1. 1 Roberto Fernández
  2. 2 Gustavo Velázquez 6.5
  3. 3 Omar Alderete
  4. 5 Fabián Balbuena
  5. 7 Ramón Sosa
  6. 9 Antonio Sanabria 6.7
  7. 11 Mauricio 7.1
  8. 17 Kaku
  9. 18 Álex Arce
  10. 20 Braian Ojeda 6.5
  11. 22 Gastón Olveira
  12. 24 Gustavo Caballero 7.0
  13. 25 Isidro Pitta
  14. 26 Alexandro Maidana

Form and head-to-head: Germany v Paraguay

Germany

LWWWW

Paraguay

LDWLW

World Cup standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 United States 3 2 0 1 +4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 -8 1

Managers: Germany v Paraguay

J. Nagelsmann
GermanyManagerJ. Nagelsmann
G. Alfaro
ParaguayManagerG. Alfaro

Match information: Germany v Paraguay

Kick-off
·
Competition
World Cup
City
Foxborough
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
66,829

TV coverage: Germany v Paraguay

Where to watch in Bulgaria

4 broadcasts licensed for Bulgaria

  • BNT 1
  • BNT 3
  • BNT News App
  • bnt.bg

Live commentary: Germany v Paraguay

Live commentary will appear here as the match unfolds.