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Ecuador v Germany

World Cup
Ecuador
2:1
Full time
Germany

Ecuador v Germany in World Cup ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Ecuador v Germany

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Germany at 52.4% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Ecuador X 2 · Germany Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 56.5% 22.8% 20.7% Home win · Ecuador ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 23.8% 23.9% 52.4% Away win · Germany ✘ Missed
Final score 2:1 Home win · Ecuador
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)
1 - home18.1%
X - draw22.9%
2 - away59.2%
Double chance
1X - home/draw40.9%
12 - no draw77.2%
X2 - away/draw82.0%
Both teams to score
Yes49.5%
No50.6%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5
Over 1.575.0%
Under 1.525.0%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.529.2%
Under 3.570.8%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.517.6%
Under 4.582.5%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5
Over 0.552.2%
Under 0.547.8%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.520.1%
Under 1.579.9%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.55.7%
Under 2.594.3%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.51.4%
Under 3.598.7%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5
Over 0.582.6%
Under 0.517.4%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.553.6%
Under 1.546.4%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.527.4%
Under 2.572.6%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.511.5%
Under 3.588.5%

Correct score

Most likely correct score
0:112.2%
0:210.8%
1:110.7%
1:29.6%

Match events: Ecuador v Germany

  1. 2′Leroy Sané · Goal (assist: Florian Wirtz)
  2. 9′Nilson Angulo · Goal (assist: Pedro Vite)
  3. 43′Piero Hincapié · Yellow card
  4. 44′Aleksandar Pavlovic · Yellow card
  5. 46′Angelo Stiller · Substitution (off: Aleksandar Pavlovic)
  6. 50′Alan Franco · Yellow card
  7. 60′Malick Thiaw · Substitution (off: Joshua Kimmich )
  8. 60′Deniz Undav · Substitution (off: Kai Havertz)
  9. 64′Maximilian Beier · Substitution (off: Felix Nmecha)
  10. 64′Angelo Preciado · Substitution (off: Alan Franco)
  11. 64′Kevin Rodríguez · Substitution (off: Enner Valencia)
  12. 71′Pervis Estupiñán · Substitution (off: Piero Hincapié)
  13. 73′Pascal Groß · Substitution (off: Florian Wirtz)
  14. 77′Gonzalo Plata · Goal (assist: Kevin Rodríguez)
  15. 85′Jordy Caicedo · Substitution (off: Nilson Angulo)
  16. 85′Félix Torres · Substitution (off: John Yeboah)
  17. 89′Gonzalo Plata · Yellow card

Match statistics: Ecuador v Germany

Statistic Ecuador Germany
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 3 3
Total shots 7 11
Shots off target 2 3
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 2 1
Fouls 15 10
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 5 2
Red cards 5 6
Passes 378 592
Pass accuracy 83% 87%

Line-ups: Ecuador v Germany

Ecuador 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Hernán Galíndez 6.9
  2. 3 Piero Hincapié 6.3
  3. 4 Joel Ordóñez 7.2
  4. 6 Willian Pacho 7.1
  5. 9 John Yeboah 7.2
  6. 13 Enner Valencia 6.7
  7. 15 Pedro Vite 7.5
  8. 19 Gonzalo Plata 6.9
  9. 20 Nilson Angulo 7.6
  10. 21 Alan Franco 6.7
  11. 23 Moisés Caicedo 7.0
Substitutes (15)
  1. 2 Félix Torres 6.5
  2. 5 Jordy Alcívar
  3. 7 Pervis Estupiñán 6.6
  4. 8 Anthony Valencia
  5. 10 Kendry Páez
  6. 11 Kevin Rodríguez 7.1
  7. 12 Moisés Ramírez
  8. 14 Alan Minda
  9. 16 Jordy Caicedo 6.5
  10. 17 Angelo Preciado 6.5
  11. 18 Denil Castillo
  12. 22 Gonzalo Valle
  13. 24 Jeremy Arévalo
  14. 25 Jackson Porozo
  15. 26 Yaimar Medina

Germany 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Manuel Neuer 6.4
  2. 2 Antonio Rüdiger 6.5
  3. 4 Jonathan Tah 6.6
  4. 5 Aleksandar Pavlovic 6.2
  5. 6 Joshua Kimmich 6.8
  6. 7 Kai Havertz 7.0
  7. 10 Jamal Musiala 6.9
  8. 17 Florian Wirtz 7.4
  9. 19 Leroy Sané 6.9
  10. 22 David Raum 6.5
  11. 23 Felix Nmecha 5.8
Substitutes (13)
  1. 3 Waldemar Anton
  2. 8 Leon Goretzka
  3. 9 Jamie Leweling
  4. 11 Nick Woltemade
  5. 12 Oliver Baumann
  6. 13 Pascal Groß 6.8
  7. 14 Maximilian Beier 6.3
  8. 16 Angelo Stiller 6.6
  9. 20 Nadiem Amiri
  10. 21 Alexander Nübel
  11. 24 Malick Thiaw 6.5
  12. 25 Assan Ouédraogo
  13. 26 Deniz Undav 6.9

Form and head-to-head: Ecuador v Germany

Ecuador

LDLWW

Germany

DWWWW

World Cup standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 -8 1

Managers: Ecuador v Germany

S. Beccacece
EcuadorManagerS. Beccacece
J. Nagelsmann
GermanyManagerJ. Nagelsmann

Match information: Ecuador v Germany

Kick-off
·
Competition
World Cup
Round
3
City
East Rutherford
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
82,500

TV coverage: Ecuador v Germany

Where to watch in Bulgaria

3 broadcasts licensed for Bulgaria

  • BNT 1
  • BNT News App
  • bnt.bg

Live commentary: Ecuador v Germany

Live commentary will appear here as the match unfolds.