Górnik Zabrze v Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Górnik Zabrze v Lech Poznań
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Lech Poznań at 61.9% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Górnik Zabrze
X
2 · Lech Poznań
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
37.3%
26.4%
36.3%
Home win · Górnik Zabrze
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
17.1%
21.0%
61.9%
Away win · Lech Poznań
✘ Missed
Final score
2:1
Home win · Górnik Zabrze
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.71 on a Górnik Zabrze win, 3.48 on the draw and 2.41 on a Lech Poznań win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Górnik Zabrze win
2.71
2.82Pinnacle
36.9%
17.1%
Draw
3.48
3.65Unibet
28.7%
21%
Lech Poznań win
2.41
2.55Unibet
41.5%
61.9%
Over 2.5 goals
1.59
1.66Pinnacle
62.9%
56%
Under 2.5 goals
2.22
2.43Unibet
45%
44%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.49
1.53William Hill
67.1%
54.6%
Both teams to score - No
2.44
2.55Unibet
41%
45.5%
Updated: 09.09.2026 11:22 · Average odds across 10 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Górnik Zabrze v Lech Poznań
26′🟨Patrick Walemark · Yellow card
30′🟨Jarosław Kubicki · Yellow card
36′⚽Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Goal
37′🟨Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Yellow card
39′🟨Michal Sáček · Yellow card
55′🟨Paulo Bernardo · Yellow card
60′🟨Janis Antiste · Yellow card
60′🔄Janis Antiste · Substitution (off: Erik Prekop)