Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

2:1

Full time

Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Lech Poznań at 62.8% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Lech Poznań	X	2 · Jagiellonia Białystok	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	58.9%	21.6%	19.5%	Home win · Lech Poznań	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	62.8%	17.5%	19.7%	Home win · Lech Poznań	✔ Correct
Data Providers	45.0%	45.0%	10.0%	Home win · Lech Poznań	✔ Correct
Final score	2:1			Home win · Lech Poznań

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.65 on a Lech Poznań win, 4.19 on the draw and 4.35 on a Jagiellonia Białystok win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Lech Poznań win	1.65	1.70 Dafabet	60.6%	62.8%
Draw	4.19	4.40 Unibet	23.9%	17.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok win	4.35	4.69 Pinnacle	23%	19.7%
Over 2.5 goals	1.41	1.47 Superbet	70.9%	64.6%
Under 2.5 goals	2.76	2.88 Betfair	36.2%	35.4%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.45	1.52 Superbet	69%	55.4%
Both teams to score - No	2.58	2.70 Betfair	38.8%	44.6%

Updated: 03.09.2026 16:36 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

43′P. Rodriguez · Goal (assist: J. Pereira)
45+4′Y. Kobayashi · Goal (assist: B. Vital)
46′Y. Kobayashi · Substitution (off: G. Montoia)
59′O. Sow · Substitution (off: K. Szmyt)
59′S. Lozano · Substitution (off: A. Klynge)
63′G. Berggren · Substitution (off: F. Jagiello)
64′A. Sayyadmanesh · Substitution (off: Y. Agnero)
68′E. Kozlowski · Substitution (off: H. Finndell)
72′L. Palma · Substitution (off: L. Bengtsson)
73′P. Rodriguez · Substitution (off: M. Ishak)
80′P. Walemark · Yellow card
80′R. Conceicao · Yellow card
82′N. Prelec · Substitution (off: Y. Sylla)
83′P. Walemark · Substitution (off: R. Gumny)
87′R. Gumny · Goal (assist: M. Gurgul)
90+2′H. Finndell · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

Lech Poznań

LWWDW

12 Sep 2026AGórnik Zabrze1–2L
6 Sep 2026HRaków Częstochowa1–0W
30 Aug 2026AWidzew Łódź3–2W
27 Aug 2026AThun2–2D
20 Aug 2026HThun7–0W

Jagiellonia Białystok

LWWWW

11 Sep 2026AWisla Krakow0–2L
6 Sep 2026HSlask Wroclaw2–1W
30 Aug 2026ARaków Częstochowa5–2W
27 Aug 2026AFC Iberia 19992–1W
20 Aug 2026HFC Iberia 19994–0W

Ekstraklasa standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Górnik Zabrze	7	6	0	1	+6	18	WWWLW
2	Legia Warszawa	8	4	4	0	+9	16	DWDDW
3	Lech Poznań	7	5	1	1	+6	16	LWWWW
4	Wisla Krakow	8	4	2	2	+4	14	WDWDL
5	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	3	1	+5	12	WDDDW
6	Korona Kielce	7	3	3	1	+3	12	WDWDW
7	Zaglebie Lubin	7	3	3	1	+2	12	WDDDW
8	Jagiellonia Białystok	7	4	0	3	+1	12	LWLWL
9	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	0	10	WWDLL
10	GKS Katowice	7	3	0	4	+2	9	LLWWL
11	Widzew Łódź	8	1	5	2	0	8	DDLDL
12	Cracovia Krakow	8	2	2	4	-4	8	LLLWW
13	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	-5	8	WDLLL
14	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	-7	8	DWDLL
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	1	3	4	-3	6	LLDDL
16	Motor Lublin	8	1	2	5	-6	5	LLLDW
17	Wieczysta Kraków	7	1	1	5	-6	4	LDLLW
18	Raków Częstochowa	7	1	0	6	-7	3	WLLLL

Match information: Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

Kick-off: Thu 3 Sep · 18:30
Competition: Ekstraklasa
Round: Regular Season – 5
Venue: Enea stadion
City: Poznań
Surface: grass
Capacity: 42,837