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Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
0:5
Full time
FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga ended 0:5. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Hamburger SV at 39.9% - the match finished 0:5, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Hamburger SV X 2 · FSV Mainz 05 Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 55.6% 22.3% 22.2% Home win · Hamburger SV ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 39.9% 24.5% 35.6% Home win · Hamburger SV ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · FSV Mainz 05 ✔ Correct
Final score 0:5 Away win · FSV Mainz 05
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.91 on a Hamburger SV win, 3.42 on the draw and 2.44 on a FSV Mainz 05 win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Hamburger SV win 2.91 3.02 1xBet 34.4% 39.9%
Draw 3.42 3.50 BetVictor 29.2% 24.5%
FSV Mainz 05 win 2.44 2.52 1xBet 41% 35.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.82 1.90 1xBet 54.9% 56.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.01 2.10 Bet365 49.8% 43.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.70 William Hill 61.3% 58.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.17 2.25 Bet365 46.1% 41.3%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:19 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

  1. 19′Sheraldo Becker · Goal (assist: Kaishu Sano)
  2. 31′Anthony Caci · Yellow card
  3. 36′Zakaria El Ouahdi · Yellow card
  4. 41′Phillipp Mwene · Goal (assist: Sheraldo Becker)
  5. 45′Bilal Nadir · Substitution (off: Fábio Vieira)
  6. 45′Martin Adeline · Substitution (off: Patson Daka)
  7. 45′Jordan Torunarigha · Substitution (off: Shafiq Nandja)
  8. 48′Phillip Tietz · Goal (assist: Sheraldo Becker)
  9. 64′Terem Moffi · Substitution (off: Otto Emerson Stange)
  10. 68′Sheraldo Becker · Substitution (off: Ransford Konigsdorffer)
  11. 81′Anthony Caci · Substitution (off: Danny da Costa)
  12. 83′Phillip Tietz · Goal (assist: Lee Jae-Sung)
  13. 84′David Moller Wolfe · Substitution (off: Louis Pepe Lemke)
  14. 85′Phillipp Mwene · Yellow card
  15. 88′Stefan Posch · Substitution (off: Rael Nakuzola)
  16. 88′Lee Jae-Sung · Substitution (off: Otto Ruoppi)
  17. 88′Kaishu Sano · Substitution (off: Lennard Maloney)
  18. 90+1′Ransford Konigsdorffer · Goal (assist: Phillipp Mwene)
  19. 90+2′Sheraldo Becker · Yellow card

Match statistics: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Statistic Hamburger SV FSV Mainz 05
Possession 54% 46%
Shots on target 1 8
Total shots 8 17
Shots off target 2 7
Blocked shots 5 2
Corners 4 5
Fouls 14 19
Offsides 2 1
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 1
Passes 420 352

Line-ups: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes 5.8
  2. 3 D. Møller Wolfe 5.8
  3. 4 B. Nadir 6.2
  4. 5 M. Adeline 5.7
  5. 7 Z. El Ouahdi 5.5
  6. 9 T. Moffi 6.2
  7. 11 A. Grønbæk 6.0
  8. 21 N. Remberg 6.5
  9. 23 J. Torunarigha 5.2
  10. 24 N. Capaldo 5.3
  11. 33 S. Bornauw 5.7
Substitutes (9)
  1. 12 S. Tangvik
  2. 15 Y. Poulsen
  3. 18 B. Jatta
  4. 19 Otto Emerson Stange 6.3
  5. 20 Fábio Vieira 5.9
  6. 22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako
  7. 27 P. Daka 6.5
  8. 37 L. Lemke 5.5
  9. 43 S. Nandja 5.4

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 A. Schwolow 6.7
  2. 2 P. Mwene 8.6
  3. 3 F. Gruber 6.9
  4. 4 S. Posch 7.2
  5. 6 K. Sano 7.7
  6. 7 Lee Jae-Sung 7.5
  7. 9 P. Tietz 9.4
  8. 10 N. Amiri 6.6
  9. 19 A. Caci 6.3
  10. 23 S. Becker 9.0
  11. 48 K. Potulski 6.8
Substitutes (9)
  1. 11 R. Königsdörffer 7.5
  2. 15 L. Maloney 6.5
  3. 16 S. Bell
  4. 17 B. Hollerbach
  5. 20 O. Ruoppi 6.1
  6. 21 D. da Costa 6.5
  7. 24 S. Kawasaki
  8. 40 M. Kinzig
  9. 47 R. Nakuzola 6.4

Form and head-to-head: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV

LLWDW

FSV Mainz 05

LDWWL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Hamburger SV wins: 0; draws: 1; FSV Mainz 05 wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga

Bundesliga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89 WWWWWWWWWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73 WDLWWWWDWD
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65 WWLWLWDLLW
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62 WDWWDWDWWW
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61 WWLWDDLLLD
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59 WLLWWLLWWD
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47 WWDLWLDLWL
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44 WDWWDLDDLD
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43 DWWLLLDDLD
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40 WWLDDDWWWL
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39 WLLWDLWLDD
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38 LLWLDDLLWW
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38 WLDLLDLDDW
14 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32 DLLDLWDLWL
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32 WLLWDWDWLW
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29 LLWLWLLDDD
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26 WLDLDLLWWL
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26 DLLWWWLLLD

Managers: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

M. Polzin
Hamburger SVManagerM. Polzin
U. Fischer
FSV Mainz 05ManagerU. Fischer

Match information: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Kick-off
·
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
2
City
Hamburg
Surface
grass
Capacity
57,000