RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV in Bundesliga ended 5:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · RB Leipzig at 63.8% - the match finished 5:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · RB Leipzig X 2 · Hamburger SV Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 57.9% 22.3% 19.8% Home win · RB Leipzig ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 63.8% 19.1% 17.0% Home win · RB Leipzig ✔ Correct
Final score 5:0 Home win · RB Leipzig
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.39 on a RB Leipzig win, 5.02 on the draw and 6.91 on a Hamburger SV win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
RB Leipzig win 1.39 1.44 Betano 71.9% 63.8%
Draw 5.02 5.47 Pinnacle 19.9% 19.1%
Hamburger SV win 6.91 7.60 1xBet 14.5% 17%
Over 2.5 goals 1.42 1.47 Betano 70.4% 68.4%
Under 2.5 goals 2.74 2.87 Pinnacle 36.5% 31.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.61 1.66 Unibet 62.1% 55.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.22 2.30 William Hill 45% 44.2%
Updated: 10.09.2026 17:30 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

  1. 6′Nicolás Capaldo · Yellow card
  2. 17′Tidiam Gomis · Goal (assist: Ezechiel Banzuzi)
  3. 28′Antonio Nusa · Goal
  4. 35′Assan Ouedraogo · Substitution (off: Christopher Nkunku)
  5. 45′Yussuf Poulsen · Substitution (off: Terem Moffi)
  6. 48′Castello Junior Lukeba · Yellow card
  7. 71′Shafiq Nandja · Yellow card
  8. 72′Willi Orbán · Goal (assist: Antonio Nusa)
  9. 73′Patson Daka · Substitution (off: Fábio Vieira)
  10. 73′Shafiq Nandja · Substitution (off: Warmed Omari)
  11. 74′Benjamin Henrichs · Substitution (off: Ridle Baku)
  12. 74′Tidiam Gomis · Substitution (off: Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz)
  13. 74′Castello Junior Lukeba · Substitution (off: Maxime Esteve)
  14. 74′Christopher Nkunku · Goal (assist: Antonio Nusa)
  15. 77′Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz · Goal
  16. 78′Antonio Nusa · Substitution (off: Max Finkgräfe)
  17. 78′Albert Sambi Lokonga · Substitution (off: Otto Emerson Stange)
  18. 89′Zakaria El Ouahdi · Substitution (off: Bakery Jatta)

Match statistics: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

Statistic RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
Possession 64% 36%
Shots on target 6 4
Total shots 19 10
Shots off target 9 4
Blocked shots 4 2
Corners 6 7
Fouls 11 13
Offsides 0 3
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 1
Passes 611 350

Line-ups: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 4 W. Orbán 8.4
  2. 6 E. Banzuzi 7.7
  3. 7 A. Nusa 9.0
  4. 8 A. Ouédraogo 7.1
  5. 10 B. Gruda 6.3
  6. 21 N. El Aynaoui 7.2
  7. 22 D. Raum 7.6
  8. 23 C. Lukeba 6.7
  9. 26 M. Vandevoordt 7.9
  10. 27 T. Gomis 8.8
  11. 39 B. Henrichs 7.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Ø. Nyland
  2. 3 M. Estève 7.0
  3. 9 Marc Guiu
  4. 13 N. Seiwald
  5. 17 R. Baku 7.4
  6. 28 C. Nkunku 7.8
  7. 30 A. Maksimović
  8. 35 Max Finkgräfe 7.0
  9. 40 Rômulo 7.8

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes 5.5
  2. 3 D. Møller Wolfe 5.6
  3. 6 A. Sambi Lokonga 6.2
  4. 7 Z. El Ouahdi 6.1
  5. 11 A. Grønbæk 6.5
  6. 15 Y. Poulsen 6.3
  7. 21 N. Remberg 6.4
  8. 23 J. Torunarigha 5.9
  9. 24 N. Capaldo 5.6
  10. 27 P. Daka 6.3
  11. 43 S. Nandja 5.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 B. Nadir
  2. 5 M. Adeline
  3. 9 T. Moffi 6.7
  4. 12 S. Tangvik
  5. 17 W. Omari 5.4
  6. 18 B. Jatta
  7. 19 Otto Emerson Stange 6.2
  8. 20 Fábio Vieira 5.9
  9. 37 L. Lemke

Form and head-to-head: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig

LLWWL

Hamburger SV

LLWDW

Bundesliga standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89 WWWWWWWWWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73 WDLWWWWDWD
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65 WWLWLWDLLW
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62 WDWWDWDWWW
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61 WWLWDDLLLD
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59 WLLWWLLWWD
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47 WWDLWLDLWL
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44 WDWWDLDDLD
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43 DWWLLLDDLD
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40 WWLDDDWWWL
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39 WLLWDLWLDD
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38 LLWLDDLLWW
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38 WLDLLDLDDW
14 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32 DLLDLWDLWL
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32 WLLWDWDWLW
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29 LLWLWLLDDD
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26 WLDLDLLWWL
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26 DLLWWWLLLD

Managers: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

M. Demichelis
RB LeipzigManagerM. Demichelis
M. Polzin
Hamburger SVManagerM. Polzin

Match information: RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV

Kick-off
·
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
3
City
Leipzig
Surface
grass
Capacity
47,069