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La Nucía v Poblense

Segunda División RFEF – Group 3
La Nucía
1:0
Full time
Poblense

La Nucía v Poblense in Segunda División RFEF – Group 3 ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: La Nucía v Poblense

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · La Nucía at 42.3% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · La Nucía X 2 · Poblense Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 35.6% 26.4% 38.0% Away win · Poblense ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.3% 26.5% 31.3% Home win · La Nucía ✔ Correct
Data Providers 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% Away win · Poblense ✘ Missed
Final score 1:0 Home win · La Nucía
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.57 on a La Nucía win, 2.81 on the draw and 2.79 on a Poblense win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
La Nucía win 2.57 2.65 Pinnacle 38.9% 42.3%
Draw 2.81 3.00 Bet365 35.6% 26.5%
Poblense win 2.79 2.92 Pinnacle 35.8% 31.3%
Over 2.5 goals 2.66 2.79 Pinnacle 37.6% 38%
Under 2.5 goals 1.40 1.44 Bet365 71.4% 62%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.14 2.15 BetVictor 46.7% 41.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.61 1.62 1xBet 62.1% 58.3%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: La Nucía v Poblense

  1. 34′G. Lidon · Goal

Form and head-to-head: La Nucía v Poblense

La Nucía

WWDDL
  • HReal Murcia II5–1W
  • HTrival Valderas1–0W
  • ATrival Valderas0–0D
  • ALleida Esportiu1–1D
  • HLlagostera0–1L

Poblense

LDDWW
  • HCastellonense1–2L
  • HÁguilas0–0D
  • AÁguilas0–0D
  • HNumancia2–1W
  • ANumancia1–0W

Segunda División RFEF – Group 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Castellonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
2 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
3 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
4 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
5 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
6 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
7 Alcoyano 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
8 Cieza 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
9 Elche II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
10 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
11 Mallorca II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
12 Valencia II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
13 Castellón II 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
14 Real Murcia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
15 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
16 Atlético Baleares 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
17 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
18 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L

Match information: La Nucía v Poblense

Kick-off
·
Competition
Segunda División RFEF – Group 3
Round
Group 3 – 1