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La Nucía v Real Murcia II

Segunda División RFEF – Group 3
La Nucía
5:1
Full time
Real Murcia II

La Nucía v Real Murcia II in Segunda División RFEF – Group 3 ended 5:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: La Nucía v Real Murcia II

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · La Nucía at 45.4% - the match finished 5:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · La Nucía X 2 · Real Murcia II Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.4% 29.2% 20.4% Home win · La Nucía ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 45.4% 29.0% 25.7% Home win · La Nucía ✔ Correct
Final score 5:1 Home win · La Nucía
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.74 on a La Nucía win, 3.25 on the draw and 4.41 on a Real Murcia II win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
La Nucía win 1.74 1.76 1xBet 57.5% 45.4%
Draw 3.25 3.25 Marathonbet 30.8% 29%
Real Murcia II win 4.41 4.49 1xBet 22.7% 25.7%
Over 2.5 goals 2.31 2.35 Bet365 43.3% 45.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.56 1.57 Bet365 64.1% 54.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.09 2.09 Marathonbet 47.8% 48.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.64 1.65 1xBet 61% 51.5%
Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: La Nucía v Real Murcia II

  1. 13′V. Ajouaou · Goal
  2. 17′V. Ajouaou · Goal
  3. 51′J. Rico · Goal
  4. 60′R. Rubira · Goal
  5. 65′J. Martin · Goal
  6. 71′Christian · Goal

Form and head-to-head: La Nucía v Real Murcia II

La Nucía

WWDDL
  • HPoblense1–0W
  • HTrival Valderas1–0W
  • ATrival Valderas0–0D
  • ALleida Esportiu1–1D
  • HLlagostera0–1L

Real Murcia II

LDW
  • HOrihuela1–2L
  • APamplona1–1D
  • HPamplona2–1W

Segunda División RFEF – Group 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Castellonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
2 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
3 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
4 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
5 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
6 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
7 Alcoyano 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
8 Cieza 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
9 Elche II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
10 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
11 Mallorca II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
12 Valencia II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
13 Castellón II 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
14 Real Murcia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
15 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
16 Atlético Baleares 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
17 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
18 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L

Match information: La Nucía v Real Murcia II

Kick-off
·
Competition
Segunda División RFEF – Group 3
Round
Group 3 – 2