Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia in Bulgarian First League ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ludogorets at 70.0% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Ludogorets
X
2 · Septemvri Sofia
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
59.5%
24.8%
15.8%
Home win · Ludogorets
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
70.0%
16.9%
13.1%
Home win · Ludogorets
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Ludogorets
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Ludogorets
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.21 on a Ludogorets win, 5.64 on the draw and 11.06 on a Septemvri Sofia win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Ludogorets win
1.21
1.231xBet
82.6%
70%
Draw
5.64
5.90Marathonbet
17.7%
16.9%
Septemvri Sofia win
11.06
12.00Marathonbet
9%
13.1%
Over 2.5 goals
1.56
1.61Pinnacle
64.1%
62.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.25
2.35Bet365
44.4%
37.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.10
2.14Marathonbet
47.6%
47.3%
Both teams to score - No
1.66
1.73William Hill
60.2%
52.7%
Updated: 09.09.2026 11:22 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.