Spartak Varna v Ludogorets in Bulgarian First League The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Spartak Varna v Ludogorets
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Ludogorets at 45.9% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Spartak Varna
X
2 · Ludogorets
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
32.7%
30.3%
36.9%
Away win · Ludogorets
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
26.9%
27.2%
45.9%
Away win · Ludogorets
✘ Missed
Data Providers
0.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Away win · Ludogorets
✘ Missed
Final score
1:1
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 5.60 on a Spartak Varna win, 4.00 on the draw and 1.53 on a Ludogorets win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Spartak Varna win
5.60
6.10Marathonbet
17.9%
26.9%
Draw
4.00
4.23Pinnacle
25%
27.2%
Ludogorets win
1.53
1.57Betano
65.4%
45.9%
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
1.85Bet365
55.6%
50.6%
Under 2.5 goals
1.95
2.00Pinnacle
51.3%
49.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.84
1.87Betfair
54.3%
53%
Both teams to score - No
1.84
1.87Betfair
54.3%
47%
Updated: 30.08.2026 16:10 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.