Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth in English Premier League ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Manchester City at 51.3% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Manchester City
X
2 · AFC Bournemouth
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
51.3%
24.9%
23.7%
Home win · Manchester City
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
51.3%
20.2%
28.5%
Home win · Manchester City
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · Manchester City
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Manchester City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.48 on a Manchester City win, 4.80 on the draw and 5.94 on a AFC Bournemouth win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Manchester City win
1.48
1.53Betano
67.6%
51.3%
Draw
4.80
5.081xBet
20.8%
20.2%
AFC Bournemouth win
5.94
6.40Unibet
16.8%
28.5%
Over 2.5 goals
1.43
1.45Betano
69.9%
53.3%
Under 2.5 goals
2.76
2.87Pinnacle
36.2%
46.7%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.54
1.5710Bet
64.9%
46.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.37
2.50Betfair
42.2%
53.2%
Updated: 23.08.2026 08:44 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth
26′⚽M. Tavernier · Goal (assist: Evanilson)
45+1′🟨Evanilson · Yellow card
Match statistics: Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth
Statistic
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
Possession
69%
31%
Shots on target
2
2
Total shots
5
2
Shots off target
1
0
Blocked shots
2
0
Corners
2
1
Fouls
5
5
Saves
1
1
Passes
283
132
Pass accuracy
90%
77%
Line-ups: Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma 6.6
3 Rúben Dias 6.6
5 Elliot Anderson 6.7
6 Marc Guéhi 6.7
9 Erling Haaland 6.5
24 Joško Gvardiol 6.2
33 Nico O'Reilly 6.9
42 Antoine Semenyo 6.9
45 Abdukodir Khusanov 6.5
47 Phil Foden 6.9
82 Rico Lewis 6.2
Substitutes (9)
7 Omar Marmoush
8 Mateo Kovačić
10 Rayan Cherki
14 Nico González
18 Jack Grealish
21 Rayan Aït-Nouri
22 Vitor Reis
27 Matheus Nunes
28 Gerónimo Rulli
AFC Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Đorđe Petrović 6.6
3 Adrien Truffert 6.7
4 Lewis Cook 6.3
5 James Hill 6.6
8 Alex Scott 6.9
9 Evanilson 6.9
14 António Silva 6.6
15 Adam Smith 6.3
16 Marcus Tavernier 7.7
19 Justin Kluivert 6.3
37 Rayan 6.3
Substitutes (9)
7 David Brooks
11 Ben Gannon-Doak
12 Tyler Adams
18 Bafodé Diakité
24 Juanlu Sánchez
27 Alex Tóth
29 Daniel Jebbison
30 Álvaro Rodriguez
40 Will Dennis
Form and head-to-head: Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth
Play Diema Xtra