Manchester United v Manchester City

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Start time 15:30

When and where is Manchester United v Manchester City in English Premier League Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Manchester United v Manchester City

What the models say

2 of 2 models lean towards Home win · Manchester United (average probability 42.3%).

Model	1 · Manchester United	X	2 · Manchester City	Pick
ELO + Poisson	43.3%	26.1%	30.6%	Home win · Manchester United
Pro AI (XGBoost)	41.3%	19.3%	39.4%	Home win · Manchester United
Consensus	42.3%	22.7%	35.0%	Home win · Manchester United

Model probabilities are for information purposes only - they do not constitute betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 3.14 on a Manchester United win, 3.86 on the draw and 2.14 on a Manchester City win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Manchester United win	3.14	3.25 Bet365	31.8%	41.3%
Draw	3.86	4.00 1xBet	25.9%	19.3%
Manchester City win	2.14	2.19 1xBet	46.7%	39.4%
Over 2.5 goals	1.50	1.53 Pinnacle	66.7%	62.3%
Under 2.5 goals	2.46	2.56 Pinnacle	40.7%	37.7%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.43	1.44 Marathonbet	69.9%	58.6%
Both teams to score - No	2.61	2.63 BetVictor	38.3%	41.4%

Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Manchester United v Manchester City

Manchester United

WDWLW

10 Sep 2026HSabah4–0W
6 Sep 2026AEverton2–2D
30 Aug 2026HIpswich Town5–2W
22 Aug 2026AHull City0–2L
24 May 2026ABrighton & Hove Albion3–0W

Manchester City

WWWWL

8 Sep 2026APorto2–0W
5 Sep 2026HCoventry City1–0W
28 Aug 2026ACrystal Palace4–1W
23 Aug 2026HAFC Bournemouth2–1W
16 August 2026AArsenal0–3L

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Manchester United wins: 1; draws: 0; Manchester City wins: 0.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
17 Jan 2026	Manchester United	2–0	Manchester City	English Premier League

English Premier League standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Manchester City	3	3	0	0	+5	9	WWW
2	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+5	9	WWW
3	Hull City	3	2	1	0	+3	7	DWW
4	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+1	6	LWW
5	Brentford	3	1	2	0	+3	5	DDW
6	Liverpool	3	1	2	0	+2	5	WDD
7	Newcastle United	3	1	2	0	+2	5	DWD
8	Everton	3	1	2	0	+2	5	DDW
9	Leeds United	3	1	2	0	+1	5	DDW
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	3	1	1	1	+3	4	DLW
11	Manchester United	3	1	1	1	+1	4	DWL
12	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	0	4	DWL
13	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-4	3	WLL
14	Ipswich Town	3	1	0	2	-4	3	LLW
15	AFC Bournemouth	3	0	2	1	-1	2	DDL
16	Nottingham Forest	3	0	2	1	-1	2	DDL
17	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-5	1	DLL
18	Tottenham Hotspur	3	0	1	2	-5	1	DLL
19	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-3	0	LLL
20	Coventry City	3	0	0	3	-5	0	LLL

Match information: Manchester United v Manchester City

Kick-off: Sun 13 Sep · 15:30
Competition: English Premier League
Round: 4
Venue: Old Trafford
City: Manchester
Surface: grass
Capacity: 74,879