Mexico v Korea Republic

1:0

Full time

Mexico v Korea Republic in World Cup ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mexico v Korea Republic

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mexico at 48.7% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Mexico	X	2 · Korea Republic	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	72.1%	16.6%	11.3%	Home win · Mexico	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	48.7%	26.9%	24.4%	Home win · Mexico	✔ Correct
Final score	1:0			Home win · Mexico

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)

1 - home38.6%

X - draw26.1%

2 - away35.3%

Double chance

1X - home/draw64.7%

12 - no draw73.9%

X2 - away/draw61.4%

Both teams to score

Yes50.0%

No50.0%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5

Over 1.572.2%

Under 1.527.8%

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.546.9%

Under 2.553.1%

Total goals 3.5

Over 3.524.9%

Under 3.575.1%

Total goals 4.5

Over 4.513.6%

Under 4.586.4%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5

Over 0.570.1%

Under 0.529.9%

Home goals 1.5

Over 1.536.1%

Under 1.563.9%

Home goals 2.5

Over 2.513.9%

Under 2.586.1%

Home goals 3.5

Over 3.54.5%

Under 3.595.5%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5

Over 0.567.6%

Under 0.532.4%

Away goals 1.5

Over 1.533.3%

Under 1.566.7%

Away goals 2.5

Over 2.512.9%

Under 2.587.1%

Away goals 3.5

Over 3.54.1%

Under 3.595.9%

Correct score

Most likely correct score

1:112.6%

1:010.3%

0:19.7%

2:18.5%

1:27.9%

Match events: Mexico v Korea Republic

4′Kang-in Lee · Yellow card
50′Luis Romo · Goal
57′Hee-chan Hwang · Substitution (off: Jae-sung Lee)
57′Hyeon-gyu Oh · Substitution (off: Heung-min Son)
58′Seung-ho Paik · Yellow card
71′Ji-sung Eom · Substitution (off: Moon-hwan Kim)
71′Hyun-jun Yang · Substitution (off: Young-woo Seol)
71′Orbelín Pineda · Substitution (off: Brian Gutiérrez)
71′Obed Vargas · Substitution (off: Luis Romo)
77′Gue-sung Cho · Substitution (off: Seung-ho Paik)
80′Santiago Gimenez · Substitution (off: Raúl Jiménez)
80′Israel Reyes · Substitution (off: Roberto Alvarado)
84′César Huerta · Substitution (off: Julián Quiñones)

Match statistics: Mexico v Korea Republic

Statistic	Mexico	Korea Republic
Possession	42%	58%
Shots on target	4	2
Total shots	8	9
Shots off target	4	7
Blocked shots	2	3
Corners	1	0
Fouls	9	7
Offsides	3	6
Yellow cards	5	5
Passes	427	578
Pass accuracy	82%	84%