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Mexico v Ecuador

World Cup
Mexico
2:0
Full time
Ecuador

Mexico v Ecuador in World Cup ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mexico v Ecuador

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mexico at 56.1% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Mexico X 2 · Ecuador Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 63.5% 20.3% 16.2% Home win · Mexico ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.1% 26.7% 17.3% Home win · Mexico ✔ Correct
Final score 2:0 Home win · Mexico
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)
1 - home45.6%
X - draw29.0%
2 - away25.4%
Double chance
1X - home/draw74.6%
12 - no draw71.0%
X2 - away/draw54.4%
Both teams to score
Yes44.1%
No55.9%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5
Over 1.566.1%
Under 1.533.9%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.520.2%
Under 3.579.8%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.510.6%
Under 4.589.4%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5
Over 0.572.7%
Under 0.527.3%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.538.0%
Under 1.562.0%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.514.8%
Under 2.585.3%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.55.0%
Under 3.595.0%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5
Over 0.557.1%
Under 0.542.9%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.523.3%
Under 1.576.7%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.57.7%
Under 2.592.3%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.52.2%
Under 3.597.9%

Correct score

Most likely correct score
1:014.1%
1:113.0%
0:010.8%
2:09.3%
0:19.0%

Match events: Mexico v Ecuador

  1. 22′Julián Quiñones · Goal (assist: Roberto Alvarado)
  2. 31′Raúl Jiménez · Goal (assist: Julián Quiñones)
  3. 45+1′Alan Franco · Yellow card
  4. 46′Yaimar Medina · Substitution (off: Alan Franco)
  5. 46′Angelo Preciado · Substitution (off: Joel Ordóñez)
  6. 58′Brian Gutiérrez · Substitution (off: Gilberto Mora)
  7. 59′Kevin Rodríguez · Substitution (off: Enner Valencia)
  8. 73′Obed Vargas · Substitution (off: Luis Romo)
  9. 74′Santiago Gimenez · Substitution (off: Raúl Jiménez)
  10. 79′Jordy Caicedo · Substitution (off: John Yeboah)
  11. 79′Kendry Páez · Substitution (off: Nilson Angulo)
  12. 80′Orbelín Pineda · Substitution (off: Julián Quiñones)
  13. 80′Israel Reyes · Substitution (off: Roberto Alvarado)
  14. 90+5′Piero Hincapié · Red card
  15. 90+3′Kendry Páez · Yellow card
  16. 90+9′Moisés Caicedo · Yellow card

Match statistics: Mexico v Ecuador

Statistic Mexico Ecuador
Possession 43% 57%
Shots on target 3 1
Total shots 15 7
Shots off target 9 5
Blocked shots 1 1
Corners 2 0
Fouls 10 14
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 13 14
Red cards 12 7
Saves 1 0
Passes 316 410
Pass accuracy 78% 83%

Line-ups: Mexico v Ecuador

Mexico 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Raúl Rangel 7.2
  2. 2 Jorge Sánchez 7.0
  3. 3 César Montes 7.1
  4. 5 Johan Vásquez 7.3
  5. 6 Érik Lira 6.9
  6. 7 Luis Romo 7.0
  7. 9 Raúl Jiménez 7.3
  8. 16 Julián Quiñones 8.1
  9. 19 Gilberto Mora 7.3
  10. 23 Jesús Gallardo 6.6
  11. 25 Roberto Alvarado 7.6
Substitutes (15)
  1. 4 Edson Álvarez
  2. 8 Álvaro Fidalgo
  3. 10 Alexis Vega
  4. 11 Santiago Gimenez 6.4
  5. 12 Carlos Acevedo
  6. 13 Guillermo Ochoa
  7. 14 Armando González
  8. 15 Israel Reyes 6.5
  9. 17 Orbelín Pineda 6.5
  10. 18 Obed Vargas 6.5
  11. 20 Mateo Chávez
  12. 21 César Huerta
  13. 22 Guillermo Martínez Ayala
  14. 24 Luis Chávez
  15. 26 Brian Gutiérrez 6.4

Ecuador 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Hernán Galíndez 6.0
  2. 3 Piero Hincapié 6.5
  3. 4 Joel Ordóñez 5.6
  4. 6 Willian Pacho 6.9
  5. 9 John Yeboah 7.2
  6. 13 Enner Valencia 6.2
  7. 15 Pedro Vite 6.8
  8. 19 Gonzalo Plata 6.6
  9. 20 Nilson Angulo 6.8
  10. 21 Alan Franco 6.0
  11. 23 Moisés Caicedo 7.1
Substitutes (15)
  1. 2 Félix Torres
  2. 5 Jordy Alcívar
  3. 7 Pervis Estupiñán
  4. 8 Anthony Valencia
  5. 10 Kendry Páez 6.7
  6. 11 Kevin Rodríguez 6.3
  7. 12 Moisés Ramírez
  8. 14 Alan Minda
  9. 16 Jordy Caicedo 6.5
  10. 17 Angelo Preciado 6.4
  11. 18 Denil Castillo
  12. 22 Gonzalo Valle
  13. 24 Jeremy Arévalo
  14. 25 Jackson Porozo
  15. 26 Yaimar Medina 6.5

Form and head-to-head: Mexico v Ecuador

Mexico

LWWWW

Ecuador

WDLWW

World Cup standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
3 Korea Republic 3 1 0 2 -1 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 -8 1

Managers: Mexico v Ecuador

J. Aguirre Onaindía
MexicoManagerJ. Aguirre Onaindía
S. Beccacece
EcuadorManagerS. Beccacece

Match information: Mexico v Ecuador

Kick-off
·
Competition
World Cup
City
Mexico City
Surface
grass
Capacity
87,523

TV coverage: Mexico v Ecuador

Where to watch in Bulgaria

4 broadcasts licensed for Bulgaria

  • BNT 1
  • BNT 3
  • BNT News App
  • bnt.bg

Live commentary: Mexico v Ecuador

Live commentary will appear here as the match unfolds.