Navalcarnero v Real Ávila

Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 Sun 13 Sep

2:1

Full time

Navalcarnero v Real Ávila in Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Navalcarnero v Real Ávila

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Navalcarnero at 49.1% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Navalcarnero	X	2 · Real Ávila	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	44.5%	28.8%	26.7%	Home win · Navalcarnero	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	49.1%	25.3%	25.5%	Home win · Navalcarnero	✔ Correct
Final score	2:1			Home win · Navalcarnero

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.09 on a Navalcarnero win, 3.11 on the draw and 3.26 on a Real Ávila win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Navalcarnero win	2.09	2.25 Bet365	47.8%	49.1%
Draw	3.11	3.20 Bet365	32.2%	25.3%
Real Ávila win	3.26	3.45 Pinnacle	30.7%	25.5%
Over 2.5 goals	2.09	2.13 Pinnacle	47.8%	55.1%
Under 2.5 goals	1.69	1.73 Bet365	59.2%	44.9%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.83	1.83 Marathonbet	54.6%	56.5%
Both teams to score - No	1.85	1.86 1xBet	54.1%	43.5%

Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Navalcarnero v Real Ávila

36′Peque · Goal
40′K. Vazquez · Goal
66′D. Fustos · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Navalcarnero v Real Ávila

Navalcarnero

WLLWW

9 Sep 2026ATalavera CF2–0W
6 Sep 2026AReal Valladolid II0–1L
2 Dec 2025HGetafe2–3L
9 May 2021ADon Benito1–0W
2 May 2021HMérida AD2–0W

Real Ávila

5 Sep 2026AA Madrid III1–2L
4 Dec 2025HRayo Vallecano1–2L

Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	1	0	0	+3	3	W
2	RSD Alcalá	1	1	0	0	+3	3	W
3	SS Reyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3	W
4	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3	W
5	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
6	A Madrid III	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
7	Real Valladolid II	1	1	0	0	+1	3	W
8	Conquense	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
9	Getafe II	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
10	Albacete II	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
11	Real Madrid III	1	0	1	0	0	1	D
12	Guadalajara	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
13	Real Ávila	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
14	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0	L
15	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L
16	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L
17	Talavera CF	1	0	0	1	-3	0	L
18	Calvo Sotelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0	L

Match information: Navalcarnero v Real Ávila

Kick-off: Sun 13 Sep · 16:00
Competition: Segunda División RFEF – Group 5
Round: Group 5 – 2