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Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero

Segunda División RFEF – Group 5
Real Valladolid II
1:0
Full time
Navalcarnero

Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero in Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Navalcarnero at 45.6% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Real Valladolid II X 2 · Navalcarnero Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 47.9% 26.7% 25.4% Home win · Real Valladolid II ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 36.0% 18.3% 45.6% Away win · Navalcarnero ✘ Missed
Final score 1:0 Home win · Real Valladolid II
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.05 on a Real Valladolid II win, 3.34 on the draw and 3.19 on a Navalcarnero win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Real Valladolid II win 2.05 2.11 Pinnacle 48.8% 36%
Draw 3.34 3.50 Bet365 29.9% 18.3%
Navalcarnero win 3.19 3.24 Pinnacle 31.3% 45.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.83 1.88 Pinnacle 54.6% 51.2%
Under 2.5 goals 1.90 2.00 Bet365 52.6% 48.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.66 1.67 Marathonbet 60.2% 44.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.06 2.10 BetVictor 48.5% 55.3%
Updated: 06.09.2026 10:51 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero

  1. 26′Tommy Fernandez · Goal
  2. 86′J. C. Murcia · Red card

Form and head-to-head: Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero

Real Valladolid II

L

Navalcarnero

WWLWW
  • HReal Ávila2–1W
  • ATalavera CF2–0W
  • HGetafe2–3L
  • ADon Benito1–0W
  • HMérida AD2–0W

Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 1 0 0 +3 3 W
2 RSD Alcalá 1 1 0 0 +3 3 W
3 SS Reyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3 W
4 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3 W
5 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
6 A Madrid III 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
7 Real Valladolid II 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
8 Conquense 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
9 Getafe II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
10 Albacete II 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
11 Real Madrid III 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
12 Guadalajara 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
13 Real Ávila 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
14 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0 L
15 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -2 0 L
16 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -2 0 L
17 Talavera CF 1 0 0 1 -3 0 L
18 Calvo Sotelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0 L

Match information: Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero

Kick-off
·
Competition
Segunda División RFEF – Group 5
Round
Group 5 – 1