New York RB v Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: New York RB v Philadelphia Union
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · New York RB at 43.0% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · New York RB
X
2 · Philadelphia Union
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
52.0%
23.6%
24.5%
Home win · New York RB
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
43.0%
22.3%
34.7%
Home win · New York RB
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Philadelphia Union
✔ Correct
Final score
1:3
Away win · Philadelphia Union
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.93 on a New York RB win, 3.86 on the draw and 2.16 on a Philadelphia Union win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
New York RB win
2.93
3.10Pinnacle
34.1%
43%
Draw
3.86
4.10Betfair
25.9%
22.3%
Philadelphia Union win
2.16
2.23Dafabet
46.3%
34.7%
Over 2.5 goals
1.39
1.42Pinnacle
71.9%
66.6%
Under 2.5 goals
2.93
3.10Betfair
34.1%
33.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.36
1.40Bet365
73.5%
63.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.94
3.10Betfair
34%
36.9%
Updated: 29.08.2026 22:06 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: New York RB v Philadelphia Union
21′⚽M. Iloski · Goal
46′🔄J. Ruvalcaba · Substitution (off: E. M. Choupo-Moting)
50′⚽C. Sullivan · Goal
64′🔄I. Vassilev · Substitution (off: Q. Sullivan)
65′⚽N. Pierre · Goal
67′🔄M. Dos Santos · Substitution (off: J. Marshall-Rutty)
67′🔄C. Cowell · Substitution (off: C. Harper)
67′🔄E. Forsberg · Substitution (off: M. Sofo)
74′⚽E. M. Choupo-Moting · Goal (assist: M. Sofo)
79′🟨R. Donkor · Yellow card
80′🔄B. Damiani · Substitution (off: A. Anello)
80′🔄C. Sullivan · Substitution (off: J. Bueno)
85′🔄D. Jean Jacques · Substitution (off: E. Alladoh)
90+1′🟨A. Anello · Yellow card
90+2′🟨F. Westfield · Yellow card
Match statistics: New York RB v Philadelphia Union
Statistic
New York RB
Philadelphia Union
Possession
57%
43%
Shots on target
4
7
Total shots
11
19
Shots off target
4
6
Blocked shots
3
6
Corners
4
7
Fouls
12
12
Offsides
3
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Saves
2
3
Passes
412
305
Pass accuracy
82%
72%
Line-ups: New York RB v Philadelphia Union
New York RB 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
2 Justin Che 7.3
7 Cade Cowell 6.7
10 Emil Forsberg 6.3
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba 6.3
12 Dylan Nealis 7.3
14 Julián Bazán 6.9
15 Adri Mehmeti 6.9
16 Julian Hall 6.3
34 Ethan Horvath 6.3
48 Ronald Donkor 6.9
56 Matthew Dos Santos 5.9
Substitutes (9)
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 6.3
5 Omar Valencia
13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 7.3
17 Cameron Harper 6.2
26 Tim Parker
37 Mohammed Sofo 7.0
77 John McCarthy
91 Mijahir Jimenez
92 Dennis Nelich
Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Starting XI
4 Jovan Lukić 7.0
6 Cavan Sullivan 8.3
9 Bruno Damiani 6.9
10 Milan Iloski 7.3
18 Andre Blake 6.9
19 Indiana Vassilev 7.0
21 Danley Jean Jacques 7.2
26 Nathan Harriel 7.2
27 Kai Wagner 6.3
39 Frankie Westfield 6.9
44 Neil Pierre 7.5
Substitutes (9)
2 Geiner Martínez
5 Japhet Sery Larsen
8 Jesus Bueno 6.3
14 Jeremy Rafanello
16 Ben Bender
23 Ezekiel Alladoh
28 Agustin Anello 6.2
33 Quinn Sullivan 6.6
76 Andrew Rick
Form and head-to-head: New York RB v Philadelphia Union
