Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati in Major League Soccer ended 5:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Philadelphia Union at 54.8% - the match finished 5:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Philadelphia Union X 2 · Cincinnati Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.6% 23.0% 25.4% Home win · Philadelphia Union ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 54.8% 18.3% 27.0% Home win · Philadelphia Union ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Philadelphia Union ✔ Correct
Final score 5:0 Home win · Philadelphia Union
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.65 on a Philadelphia Union win, 4.26 on the draw and 4.20 on a Cincinnati win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Philadelphia Union win 1.65 1.67 Pinnacle 60.6% 54.8%
Draw 4.26 4.46 Pinnacle 23.5% 18.3%
Cincinnati win 4.20 4.33 Pinnacle 23.8% 27%
Over 2.5 goals 1.35 1.37 Pinnacle 74.1% 74.3%
Under 2.5 goals 3.05 3.13 BetVictor 32.8% 25.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.40 1.44 Bet365 71.4% 67.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.76 2.88 BetVictor 36.2% 32.9%
Updated: 07.09.2026 04:55 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

  1. 16′Obinna Nwobodo · Red card
  2. 40′Evander · Yellow card
  3. 43′Quinn Sullivan · Penalty
  4. 45+1′Bruno Damiani · Goal (assist: Cavan Sullivan)
  5. 45′Evander · Substitution (off: Alvas Powell)
  6. 45′Kevin Denkey · Substitution (off: Tom Barlow)
  7. 45′Ender Jesús Echenique Peña · Substitution (off: Nick Hagglund)
  8. 49′Bruno Damiani · Goal (assist: Quinn Sullivan)
  9. 61′Bruno Damiani · Goal (assist: Cavan Sullivan)
  10. 62′Gerardo Valenzuela · Substitution (off: Tah Anunga)
  11. 65′Jovan Lukic · Substitution (off: Jesus Bueno)
  12. 66′Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh · Substitution (off: Milan Iloski)
  13. 66′Quinn Sullivan · Substitution (off: Indiana Vassilev)
  14. 75′Bruno Damiani · Substitution (off: Malik Jakupovic)
  15. 75′Ayoub Jabbari · Substitution (off: Samuel Mawuena Gidi)
  16. 75′Cavan Sullivan · Substitution (off: Alejandro Bedoya)
  17. 87′Tah Anunga · Yellow card
  18. 89′Milan Iloski · Penalty

Match statistics: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Statistic Philadelphia Union Cincinnati
Possession 66% 34%
Shots on target 6 0
Total shots 20 1
Shots off target 8 1
Blocked shots 6 0
Corners 5 1
Fouls 16 6
Offsides 2 1
Yellow cards 0 2
Red cards 0 1
Saves 0 1
Passes 580 299

Line-ups: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 4 J. Lukić 7.1
  2. 6 Cavan Sullivan 8.6
  3. 9 B. Damiani 9.5
  4. 18 A. Blake 6.7
  5. 21 D. Jean-Jacques 7.1
  6. 23 E. Alladoh 6.4
  7. 26 N. Harriel 7.5
  8. 27 K. Wagner 7.1
  9. 33 Q. Sullivan 7.7
  10. 39 F. Westfield 7.6
  11. 44 Neil Pierre 7.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 J. Sery Larsen
  2. 8 J. Bueno 7.2
  3. 10 M. Iloski 7.8
  4. 11 A. Bedoya 6.8
  5. 16 B. Bender
  6. 19 I. Vassilev 6.7
  7. 28 A. Anello
  8. 51 M. Jakupovic 6.6
  9. 76 A. Rick

Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 5 O. Nwobodo 5.0
  2. 9 K. Denkey 6.2
  3. 10 Evander 6.0
  4. 12 M. Robinson 6.0
  5. 18 R. Celentano 5.6
  6. 20 P. Bucha 5.4
  7. 22 G. Valenzuela 5.7
  8. 24 K. Smith 5.9
  9. 66 E. Echenique 5.8
  10. 88 A. Chirila 5.3
  11. 99 A. Jabbari 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 A. Powell 5.5
  2. 4 N. Hagglund 5.5
  3. 11 S. Gidi 5.8
  4. 13 E. Louro
  5. 15 T. Hadebe
  6. 16 T. Barlow 6.4
  7. 17 K. Mboma Dem
  8. 27 B. Anunga 5.6
  9. 29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León

Form and head-to-head: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union

WWWDD

Cincinnati

DLDWD

Major League Soccer standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30 WDWWWWDWWL
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28 WDDWWLWLWD
3 New England 13 8 1 4 +5 25 LWWWWLWWLW
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23 WWLWWWDLLW
5 New York City 14 5 4 5 +5 19 DWWLWWDLLD
6 New York RB 14 5 4 5 -8 19 LLDLDLDLWW
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18 WDWLLLDLDW
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17 WDLLDDLDDW
9 Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17 LLDWDLDWWL
10 Toronto 13 3 5 5 -6 14 LLWDWWDDDL
11 Orlando City 14 4 2 8 -17 14 LLLWWLDLDL
12 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13 LDDLWWLDLW
13 CF Montréal 13 4 1 8 -9 13 WLLWLLLWLL
14 Atlanta United 13 3 2 8 -7 11 LLLLWLDWWL
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7 LLLLLLLDDL

Managers: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Philadelphia UnionManagerB. Carnell
P. Noonan
CincinnatiManagerP. Noonan

Match information: Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer