Newcastle United v Liverpool

Newcastle United v Liverpool in English Premier League ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Newcastle United v Liverpool

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Newcastle United at 38.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Newcastle United X 2 · Liverpool Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.8% 27.1% 26.1% Home win · Newcastle United ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 38.7% 22.9% 38.3% Home win · Newcastle United ✘ Missed
Data Providers 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% Away win · Liverpool ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.87 on a Newcastle United win, 3.82 on the draw and 1.90 on a Liverpool win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Newcastle United win 3.87 4.16 1xBet 25.8% 38.7%
Draw 3.82 4.00 1xBet 26.2% 22.9%
Liverpool win 1.90 2.20 10Bet 52.6% 38.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.55 2.00 10Bet 64.5% 63.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.44 2.60 Betfair 41% 36.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.49 1.83 10Bet 67.1% 62.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.51 2.63 Betfair 39.8% 37.8%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Newcastle United v Liverpool

  1. 5′A. Elanga · Goal (assist: W. Osula)
  2. 25′Y. Wissa · Yellow card
  3. 30′M. Kerkez · Yellow card
  4. 30′J. Frimpong · Yellow card
  5. 34′L. Miley · Yellow card

Match statistics: Newcastle United v Liverpool

Statistic Newcastle United Liverpool
Possession 45% 55%
Shots on target 1 2
Total shots 5 9
Shots off target 1 2
Blocked shots 3 5
Corners 2 4
Fouls 5 9
Yellow cards 2 2
Saves 2 1
Passes 146 170
Pass accuracy 77% 81%

Line-ups: Newcastle United v Liverpool

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Lewis Hall 7.0
  2. 4 Sven Botman 6.6
  3. 9 Yoane Wissa 6.9
  4. 10 William Osula 6.6
  5. 11 Harvey Barnes 6.3
  6. 12 Malick Thiaw 6.3
  7. 14 Sean Steur 6.5
  8. 19 Anthony Elanga 7.3
  9. 21 Lukáš Horníček 7.2
  10. 37 Amar Dedić 6.6
  11. 67 Lewis Miley 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 Fabian Schär
  2. 8 Aladji Bamba
  3. 17 Bazoumana Touré
  4. 23 Jacob Murphy
  5. 24 Ewen Jaouen
  6. 27 Nick Woltemade
  7. 28 Joe Willock
  8. 41 Jacob Ramsey
  9. 51 Leo Shahar

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Alisson 5.9
  2. 4 Virgil van Dijk 6.7
  3. 5 Jérémy Jacquet 6.7
  4. 6 Miloš Kerkez 6.5
  5. 7 Florian Wirtz 7.2
  6. 8 Dominik Szoboszlai 6.9
  7. 9 Alexander Isak 6.5
  8. 18 Cody Gakpo 6.5
  9. 30 Jeremie Frimpong 6.0
  10. 38 Ryan Gravenberch 6.6
  11. 73 Rio Ngumoha 6.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 Wataru Endo
  2. 10 Alexis Mac Allister
  3. 21 Kostas Tsimikas
  4. 23 Víctor Muñoz
  5. 25 Giorgi Mamardashvili
  6. 33 Ronald Araújo
  7. 42 Trey Nyoni
  8. 53 James McConnell
  9. 67 Lewis Koumas

Form and head-to-head: Newcastle United v Liverpool

Newcastle United

LWDWW

Liverpool

DWWDL

English Premier League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 +7 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 +6 12 WWWW
3 Hull City 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DDWW
4 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 2 1 1 +8 7 WDLW
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 +1 7 DLWW
6 Brentford 4 1 3 0 +3 6 DDDW
7 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DWDD
8 Everton 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DDDW
9 Ipswich Town 4 2 0 2 -3 6 WLLW
10 Newcastle United 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
11 Leeds United 3 1 2 0 +1 5 DDW
12 Nottingham Forest 4 1 2 1 0 5 WDDL
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 0 4 LDWL
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 -2 4 LDWL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 -1 3 DDDL
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 -5 3 LWLL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4 0 2 2 -5 2 DDLL
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 -3 1 DLLL
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 -6 1 LDLL
20 Coventry City 4 0 0 4 -10 0 LLLL

Managers: Newcastle United v Liverpool

M. Jaissle
Newcastle UnitedManagerM. Jaissle
Andoni Iraola
LiverpoolManagerAndoni Iraola

Match information: Newcastle United v Liverpool

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Premier League
Round
1
City
Newcastle upon Tyne
Surface
grass
Capacity
52,409