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Millwall v Newcastle United

Carabao Cup
Millwall
0:1
Full time
Newcastle United

Millwall v Newcastle United in Carabao Cup ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Millwall v Newcastle United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Millwall at 52.4% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Millwall X 2 · Newcastle United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.3% 26.3% 33.5% Home win · Millwall ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 52.4% 22.8% 24.8% Home win · Millwall ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Millwall ✘ Missed
Final score 0:1 Away win · Newcastle United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 5.47 on a Millwall win, 4.14 on the draw and 1.55 on a Newcastle United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Millwall win 5.47 5.85 Marathonbet 18.3% 52.4%
Draw 4.14 4.33 Marathonbet 24.2% 22.8%
Newcastle United win 1.55 1.59 1xBet 64.5% 24.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.71 Marathonbet 59.5% 57.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.14 2.17 Marathonbet 46.7% 42.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.73 1.75 William Hill 57.8% 56.3%
Both teams to score - No 1.99 2.01 1xBet 50.3% 43.7%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:25 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Millwall v Newcastle United

  1. 45′Amar Dedić · Substitution (off: Valentino Livramento)
  2. 62′Romain Esse · Substitution (off: Yanis Ali Issoufou)
  3. 62′Zakariya Lovelace · Substitution (off: Taïryk Arconte)
  4. 66′Yoane Wissa · Substitution (off: Matias Fernandez-Pardo)
  5. 66′Jacob Murphy · Substitution (off: Anthony Elanga)
  6. 67′Jenson Metcalfe · Yellow card
  7. 69′Jacob Ramsey · Yellow card
  8. 81′Joe Willock · Goal (assist: Lewis Hall)
  9. 83′Jacob Ramsey · Substitution (off: Lewis Miley)
  10. 87′Lyndon Dykes · Substitution (off: Regan Monty Anderson)
  11. 87′D. Kelly · Substitution (off: Alfie Massey)
  12. 88′Jordi Osei-Tutu · Substitution (off: Tristan Parkes)

Match statistics: Millwall v Newcastle United

Statistic Millwall Newcastle United
Possession 35% 65%
Shots on target 2 6
Total shots 9 25
Shots off target 5 9
Blocked shots 2 10
Corners 1 15
Fouls 13 11
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 1 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 3
Passes 254 451

Line-ups: Millwall v Newcastle United

Millwall 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 J. Osei-Tutu 6.8
  2. 5 J. Cooper 7.0
  3. 6 C. Taylor 7.2
  4. 10 C. Neghli 6.3
  5. 11 R. Esse 6.5
  6. 12 E. Baggott 7.0
  7. 13 L. Dykes 6.4
  8. 14 Jenson Metcalfe 6.3
  9. 16 D. Kelly 6.2
  10. 29 Z. Lovelace 6.2
  11. 34 F. Marschall 7.5
Substitutes (6)
  1. 3 Zak Norton Sturge
  2. 7 T. Arconte 6.5
  3. 35 Y. Issoufou 6.1
  4. 41 G. Evans
  5. 44 Alfie Massey 6.4
  6. 51 S. T. Vieira

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 L. Hall 8.6
  2. 4 S. Botman 7.9
  3. 5 F. Schär 7.6
  4. 6 Nico González 7.0
  5. 9 Y. Wissa 6.4
  6. 11 H. Barnes 6.7
  7. 21 L. Horníček 7.3
  8. 23 J. Murphy 6.7
  9. 28 J. Willock 8.2
  10. 37 A. Dedić 7.1
  11. 41 J. Ramsey 6.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 N. Pope
  2. 2 T. Livramento 7.1
  3. 8 A. Bamba
  4. 12 M. Thiaw
  5. 14 Sean Steur
  6. 17 B. Touré
  7. 19 A. Elanga 6.9
  8. 20 M. Fernandez-Pardo 6.4
  9. 67 L. Miley 6.8

Form and head-to-head: Millwall v Newcastle United

Millwall

LWLLW

Newcastle United

DWWDL

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Millwall v Newcastle United

A. Neil
MillwallManagerA. Neil

Match information: Millwall v Newcastle United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
Round
Round of 32
Venue
The Den
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
20,146