Palmeiras v Bahia

–:–

Start time 00:30

When and where is Palmeiras v Bahia in Serie A Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Palmeiras v Bahia

What the models say

3 of 3 models lean towards Home win · Palmeiras (average probability 52.9%).

Model	1 · Palmeiras	X	2 · Bahia	Pick
ELO + Poisson	60.3%	22.5%	17.3%	Home win · Palmeiras
Pro AI (XGBoost)	53.4%	19.7%	27.0%	Home win · Palmeiras
Data Providers	45.0%	45.0%	10.0%	Home win · Palmeiras
Consensus	52.9%	29.1%	18.1%	Home win · Palmeiras

Provider tip: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw · Model probabilities are informational - not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.54 on a Palmeiras win, 4.14 on the draw and 5.45 on a Bahia win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Palmeiras win	1.54	1.58 1xBet	64.9%	53.4%
Draw	4.14	4.36 Pinnacle	24.2%	19.7%
Bahia win	5.45	5.80 Betano	18.3%	27%
Over 2.5 goals	1.68	1.72 Betano	59.5%	53.8%
Under 2.5 goals	2.17	2.22 Pinnacle	46.1%	46.2%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.73	1.75 Bet365	57.8%	51.7%
Both teams to score - No	2.00	2.02 1xBet	50%	48.3%

Updated: 02.10.2026 01:43 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Palmeiras v Bahia

Palmeiras

DLWWD

20 Sep 2026AGrêmio0–0D
16 Sep 2026ALDU de Quito2–3L
12 Sep 2026HSão Paulo2–0W
9 Sep 2026HLDU de Quito1–0W
6 Sep 2026ABotafogo0–0D

Bahia

LWWWW

20 Sep 2026AAthletico PR1–2L
15 Sep 2026HRemo2–1W
5 Sep 2026ABragantino3–2W
30 Aug 2026HInternacional3–2W
23 Aug 2026AVitória2–0W

Serie A standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	+32	60	WWWWW
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57	DWDDW
3	Athletico PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49	WDLDW
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48	WLWDW
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46	LWWWW
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45	WLWLW
7	Atlético Mineiro	28	12	7	9	+5	43	WDWLW
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41	WWWWW
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38	LDLWW
10	São Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LWLWW
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LLDLL
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	-4	35	LWDDL
13	Vitória	28	9	6	13	-14	33	LDWLL
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32	LLLLL
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32	WDWLD
16	Vasco da Gama	27	8	7	12	-7	31	WWLWL
17	Grêmio	28	7	8	13	-8	29	DLLLW
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28	LWLLD
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23	LLLLL
20	Chapecoense	27	3	9	15	-24	18	DLWLW

Match information: Palmeiras v Bahia

Kick-off: Fri 9 Oct · 00:30
Competition: Serie A
Round: Regular Season – 29
Venue: Allianz Parque
City: São Paulo
Surface: grass
Capacity: 43,713