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Palmeiras v São Paulo

Serie A
Palmeiras
2:0
Full time
São Paulo

Palmeiras v São Paulo in Serie A ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Palmeiras v São Paulo

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Palmeiras at 70.1% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Palmeiras X 2 · São Paulo Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 63.9% 21.4% 14.7% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 70.1% 15.5% 14.4% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Palmeiras ✔ Correct
Final score 2:0 Home win · Palmeiras
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.67 on a Palmeiras win, 3.72 on the draw and 4.98 on a São Paulo win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Palmeiras win 1.67 1.70 1xBet 59.9% 70.1%
Draw 3.72 3.86 1xBet 26.9% 15.5%
São Paulo win 4.98 5.16 Pinnacle 20.1% 14.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.99 2.05 Bet365 50.3% 62%
Under 2.5 goals 1.80 1.85 Pinnacle 55.6% 38.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.92 2.00 Bet365 52.1% 50.6%
Both teams to score - No 1.79 1.83 William Hill 55.9% 49.4%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Palmeiras v São Paulo

  1. 12′Pablo Maia · Yellow card
  2. 39′Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira · Red card
  3. 45+1′Murilo Cerqueira Paim · Goal
  4. 45+4′Gustavo Gómez · Yellow card
  5. 45+5′Agustin Giay · Yellow card
  6. 45′Joaquín Piquerez · Substitution (off: Arthur Gabriel)
  7. 45′Agustin Giay · Substitution (off: Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira)
  8. 45′Cauly Oliveira Souza · Substitution (off: Robert Arboleda)
  9. 50′Vitor Roque · Goal (assist: Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira)
  10. 64′Andre Silva · Substitution (off: Artur Victor Guimarães)
  11. 64′Wendell · Substitution (off: Iago Amaral Borduchi)
  12. 64′Djhordney Ferreira · Substitution (off: Danielzinho)
  13. 67′Lucas Evangelista · Substitution (off: Luis Pacheco)
  14. 67′Jhon Arias · Substitution (off: Felipe Anderson)
  15. 76′Murilo Cerqueira Paim · Yellow card
  16. 76′Aldemir Ferreira · Substitution (off: Tetê)
  17. 77′José Manuel López · Substitution (off: Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos)
  18. 85′Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos · Yellow card

Match statistics: Palmeiras v São Paulo

Statistic Palmeiras São Paulo
Possession 58% 42%
Shots on target 7 2
Total shots 19 8
Shots off target 9 2
Blocked shots 3 4
Corners 9 6
Fouls 21 12
Offsides 3 0
Yellow cards 4 1
Red cards 0 1
Saves 2 5
Passes 527 400

Line-ups: Palmeiras v São Paulo

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Carlos Miguel 7.3
  2. 3 Bruno Fuchs 7.8
  3. 4 A. Giay 6.9
  4. 8 Andreas Pereira 7.3
  5. 9 Vitor Roque 7.9
  6. 11 J. Arias 6.6
  7. 15 G. Gómez 7.1
  8. 22 J. Piquerez 6.8
  9. 26 Murilo 7.7
  10. 30 Lucas Evangelista 6.9
  11. 42 J. López 6.6
Substitutes (11)
  1. 7 Felipe Anderson 7.0
  2. 12 Khellven 7.1
  3. 14 Marcelo Lomba
  4. 29 M. C. Bilong
  5. 32 E. Martínez
  6. 39 Heittor
  7. 43 Benedetti
  8. 45 Erick Machado
  9. 48 Larson 6.7
  10. 50 Luis Felipe 7.2
  11. 56 Arthur 7.0

São Paulo 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 R. Tolói 6.6
  2. 11 Ferreira 7.2
  3. 17 André Silva 6.8
  4. 18 Wendell 6.0
  5. 27 Victor Sá 6.1
  6. 28 Newton 5.7
  7. 29 Pablo Maia 6.7
  8. 31 Carlos Coronel 7.0
  9. 48 D. Ferreira 6.5
  10. 54 Osorio Luis 5.1
  11. 80 Cauly 6.2
Substitutes (11)
  1. 5 R. Arboleda 6.4
  2. 8 Marcos Antônio
  3. 9 J. Calleri
  4. 12 Iago 6.4
  5. 19 Lucas Ramon
  6. 23 Rafael
  7. 37 Artur 6.6
  8. 43 G. Santana
  9. 46 Pedro Ferreira
  10. 53 Isac
  11. 94 Danielzinho 6.1

Form and head-to-head: Palmeiras v São Paulo

Palmeiras

WDDDW

São Paulo

WWLDL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Palmeiras wins: 1; draws: 0; São Paulo wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
São Paulo 0–1 Palmeiras Serie A

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Flamengo 27 17 6 4 +31 57 WWWWL
2 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 +26 56 WDDWL
3 Athletico PR 27 13 7 7 +10 46 DLDWD
4 Bahia 27 12 10 5 +9 46 WWWWD
5 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 +6 45 LWDWW
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 0 42 LWLWW
7 Atlético Mineiro 26 11 6 9 +4 39 WLWDW
8 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 -1 38 DLWWD
9 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 +3 36 DLLWD
10 Santos 26 9 8 9 0 35 WWWDW
11 São Paulo 26 9 6 11 +1 33 LWWLD
12 Vitória 27 9 6 12 -12 33 DWLLW
13 Corinthians 27 8 8 11 -1 32 LLLLL
14 Botafogo 26 8 8 10 -3 32 DDLLL
15 Mirassol 27 7 8 12 -11 29 DWLDD
16 Grêmio 26 7 7 12 -7 28 LLWLL
17 Vasco da Gama 26 7 7 12 -12 28 WLWLL
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 -5 28 WLLDD
19 Remo 27 5 8 14 -14 23 LLLLD
20 Chapecoense 26 3 8 15 -24 17 LWLWD

Managers: Palmeiras v São Paulo

Ferreira Abel
PalmeirasManagerFerreira Abel
Junior Dorival
São PauloManagerJunior Dorival

Match information: Palmeiras v São Paulo

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
Regular Season – 27
City
São Paulo
Surface
grass
Capacity
43,713