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Mirassol v Palmeiras

Serie A
Mirassol
1:1
Full time
Palmeiras

Mirassol v Palmeiras in Serie A The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mirassol v Palmeiras

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Palmeiras at 53.8% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Mirassol X 2 · Palmeiras Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 36.6% 28.0% 35.5% Home win · Mirassol ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 24.7% 21.5% 53.8% Away win · Palmeiras ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Palmeiras ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.59 on a Mirassol win, 3.27 on the draw and 2.05 on a Palmeiras win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mirassol win 3.59 3.80 Dafabet 27.9% 24.7%
Draw 3.27 3.40 Betfair 30.6% 21.5%
Palmeiras win 2.05 2.12 Unibet 48.8% 53.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.03 2.18 Betano 49.3% 55%
Under 2.5 goals 1.77 1.85 Bet365 56.5% 45%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.80 1.88 Betano 55.6% 54.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.92 2.00 Bet365 52.1% 45.2%
Updated: 26.08.2026 14:57 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mirassol v Palmeiras

  1. 50′Eduardo · Goal (assist: Igor Formiga)
  2. 70′Neto Moura · Substitution (off: Japa)
  3. 70′Eduardo · Substitution (off: G. Cazonatti)
  4. 70′Felipe Anderson · Substitution (off: Khellven)
  5. 70′Vitor Roque · Substitution (off: Lucas Evangelista)
  6. 75′Mauricio · Goal (assist: G. Gomez)
  7. 76′Gustavo Silva · Substitution (off: Carlos Eduardo)
  8. 79′Alesson · Substitution (off: Fernandinho)
  9. 79′Bruno Santos · Substitution (off: Andre Luis)
  10. 85′Denilson · Yellow card
  11. 87′Mauricio · Substitution (off: Heittor Vinicius)
  12. 90+6′Arthur Gabriel · Yellow card
  13. 90+8′Arthur Gabriel · Yellow card
  14. 90+8′Arthur Gabriel · Red card

Match statistics: Mirassol v Palmeiras

Statistic Mirassol Palmeiras
Possession 48% 52%
Shots on target 5 3
Total shots 11 14
Shots off target 5 7
Blocked shots 1 4
Corners 3 4
Fouls 16 11
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 1
Saves 2 4
Passes 424 464
Pass accuracy 88% 81%

Line-ups: Mirassol v Palmeiras

Mirassol 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Willian Machado 7.0
  2. 6 Reinaldo 7.0
  3. 19 Gustavo Silva 7.2
  4. 22 Walter 7.9
  5. 25 Neto Moura 7.2
  6. 27 Denilson 7.3
  7. 30 Bruno Santos 6.2
  8. 32 Igor Formiga 6.6
  9. 33 Eduardo 8.0
  10. 34 João Victor 7.3
  11. 77 Alesson 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Lucas Oliveira
  2. 5 Japa 6.3
  3. 7 Shaylon
  4. 9 André Luis 6.5
  5. 10 Chico
  6. 12 Victor Luis
  7. 17 Fernandinho 6.7
  8. 18 Elias
  9. 23 Alex Muralha
  10. 44 Gabriel Knesowitsch
  11. 55 Gustavo Cazonatti 6.3
  12. 96 Carlos Eduardo 6.9

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Carlos Miguel 7.3
  2. 4 Agustín Giay 6.7
  3. 7 Felipe Anderson 6.9
  4. 8 Andreas Pereira 7.0
  5. 9 Vitor Roque 6.5
  6. 15 Gustavo Gómez 7.0
  7. 17 Marlon Freitas 6.9
  8. 18 Mauricio 7.3
  9. 26 Murilo 7.0
  10. 42 José Manuel López 7.2
  11. 56 Arthur Gabriel 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 3 Bruno Fuchs
  2. 12 Khellven 6.6
  3. 14 Marcelo Lomba
  4. 29 Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong
  5. 30 Lucas Evangelista 6.9
  6. 32 Emiliano Martínez
  7. 37 Riquelme Fillipi
  8. 39 Heittor 6.3
  9. 45 Erick Belé
  10. 48 Larson
  11. 50 Luis Pacheco
  12. 66 André Lucas

Form and head-to-head: Mirassol v Palmeiras

Mirassol

DWLDD

Palmeiras

WWDDW

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Mirassol v Palmeiras

Guanaes Rafael
MirassolManagerGuanaes Rafael
Ferreira Abel
PalmeirasManagerFerreira Abel

Match information: Mirassol v Palmeiras

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
25
City
Mirassol
Surface
grass
Capacity
15,000