Port Vale v Exeter City

Port Vale v Exeter City in English League Two ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Port Vale v Exeter City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Port Vale at 41.1% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Port Vale X 2 · Exeter City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.9% 26.7% 22.4% Home win · Port Vale ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.1% 26.9% 32.0% Home win · Port Vale ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Port Vale
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.97 on a Port Vale win, 3.45 on the draw and 3.55 on a Exeter City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Port Vale win 1.97 1.99 1xBet 50.8% 41.1%
Draw 3.45 3.61 Pinnacle 29% 26.9%
Exeter City win 3.55 3.60 William Hill 28.2% 32%
Over 2.5 goals 1.95 1.96 Pinnacle 51.3% 49.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.83 1.85 Bet365 54.6% 50.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.77 1.80 Bet365 56.5% 50.9%
Both teams to score - No 1.95 2.00 William Hill 51.3% 49.1%
Updated: 09.09.2026 05:20 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Port Vale v Exeter City

  1. 57′Jake Doyle Hayes · Yellow card
  2. 63′Gwion Edwards · Substitution (off: Jack Paul Taylor)
  3. 70′George Byers · Penalty
  4. 71′Danny Rose · Substitution (off: George Birch)
  5. 71′Jake Doyle Hayes · Substitution (off: Taylor Perry)
  6. 73′Jordan Gabriel · Yellow card
  7. 76′Ben Waine · Substitution (off: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall)
  8. 77′George Byers · Yellow card
  9. 79′Edward James · Substitution (off: Lakyle·Samuel)
  10. 79′Vincent Harper · Substitution (off: Ethan Sutherland)
  11. 86′Oliver Lynch · Substitution (off: Tyreece Simpson)
  12. 86′Lewis Montsma · Substitution (off: Cameron Humphreys)
  13. 86′George Byers · Substitution (off: Onel Hernández)
  14. 90+5′Taylor Perry · Yellow card
  15. 90+5′Ben Garrity · Yellow card

Match statistics: Port Vale v Exeter City

Statistic Port Vale Exeter City
Possession 53% 47%
Shots on target 4 0
Total shots 14 10
Shots off target 5 5
Blocked shots 5 5
Corners 6 4
Fouls 14 9
Offsides 0 2
Yellow cards 3 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 0 3
Passes 364 336

Line-ups: Port Vale v Exeter City

Port Vale 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Smith 6.1
  2. 2 K. John 6.3
  3. 3 J. Headley 6.3
  4. 5 C. Hall 6.7
  5. 6 J. Lawrence-Gabriel 6.4
  6. 7 G. Byers 6.8
  7. 8 B. Garrity 6.4
  8. 10 K. Dempsey 7.2
  9. 14 O. Lynch 6.3
  10. 19 B. Waine 6.1
  11. 22 L. Montsma 6.8
Substitutes (7)
  1. 11 O. Hernández 6.5
  2. 17 T. Simpson 6.6
  3. 20 M. Maroši
  4. 24 K. Figueroa
  5. 25 C. Humphreys 6.5
  6. 33 G. Hall 6.0
  7. 38 R. Walters

Exeter City 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Bycroft 6.2
  2. 3 L. Woodhouse 6.4
  3. 5 J. Fitzwater 7.2
  4. 7 G. Edwards 6.6
  5. 10 J. Gordon 6.2
  6. 12 R. Cole 5.9
  7. 16 C. Cummins 6.0
  8. 24 V. Harper 6.7
  9. 31 J. Doyle-Hayes 6.1
  10. 32 D. Rose 6.8
  11. 40 E. James 7.2
Substitutes (7)
  1. 2 L. Samuel 6.6
  2. 6 J. Taylor 6.4
  3. 8 T. Perry 6.1
  4. 15 Ajay Matthews
  5. 20 George Birch 6.3
  6. 22 Frankie Phillips
  7. 23 Ethan Sutherland 6.4

Form and head-to-head: Port Vale v Exeter City

Port Vale

LLDDL

Exeter City

WDDLW

English League Two standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Port Vale v Exeter City

J. Brady
Port ValeManagerJ. Brady
M. Taylor
Exeter CityManagerM. Taylor

Match information: Port Vale v Exeter City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 6