Swindon Town v Port Vale

3:1

Full time

Swindon Town v Port Vale in English League Two ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Swindon Town v Port Vale

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Swindon Town at 41.0% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.

Model	1 · Swindon Town	X	2 · Port Vale	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	49.3%	28.4%	22.3%	Home win · Swindon Town	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	41.0%	23.6%	35.4%	Home win · Swindon Town	✔ Correct
Data Providers	45.0%	45.0%	10.0%	Home win · Swindon Town	✔ Correct
Final score	3:1			Home win · Swindon Town

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.19 on a Swindon Town win, 3.46 on the draw and 2.13 on a Port Vale win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Swindon Town win	3.19	3.40 BetVictor	31.3%	41%
Draw	3.46	3.70 Pinnacle	28.9%	23.6%
Port Vale win	2.13	2.25 Unibet	46.9%	35.4%
Over 2.5 goals	1.86	1.94 Unibet	53.8%	57.3%
Under 2.5 goals	1.91	1.97 Pinnacle	52.4%	42.8%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.69	1.74 Unibet	59.2%	54%
Both teams to score - No	2.05	2.15 Betfair	48.8%	46%

Updated: 01.09.2026 16:21 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Swindon Town v Port Vale

2′O. Lynch · Goal (assist: J. Lawrence-Gabriel)
13′A. Drinan · Goal
46′B. Waine · Substitution (off: T. Simpson)
46′O. Hernandez · Substitution (off: L. Montsma)
46′M. Craig · Substitution (off: B. Garrity)
56′T. Nichols · Substitution (off: J. Snowdon)
56′R. Tafazolli · Substitution (off: B. Middlemas)
58′C. Humphreys · Yellow card
71′B. Middlemas · Goal
74′O. Palmer · Substitution (off: L. Millard)
76′R. Walters · Substitution (off: G. Hall)
81′L. Gordon · Substitution (off: J. Headley)
87′J. Thomson · Yellow card
90+3′A. Drinan · Substitution (off: J. Ball)
90+4′L. Millard · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Swindon Town v Port Vale

Swindon Town

LWLWD

12 Sep 2026AYork0–4L
5 Sep 2026HColchester3–1W
29 Aug 2026AOldham0–3L
22 Aug 2026HCheltenham2–1W
15 August 2026ANorthampton0–0D

Port Vale

WLDDL

12 Sep 2026HExeter City1–0W
5 Sep 2026ASalford City0–1L
29 Aug 2026HCrewe Alexandra0–0D
22 Aug 2026HTranmere1–1D
15 August 2026AOldham0–2L

English League Two standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barnet	6	3	3	0	+5	12	WDDDW
2	Bristol Rovers	6	4	0	2	+4	12	LWWWW
3	York	6	3	2	1	+5	11	WDLWD
4	Cheltenham	6	3	2	1	+3	11	WDWDL
5	Walsall	6	2	4	0	+4	10	DDDWD
6	Grimsby	6	2	4	0	+3	10	WDDDD
7	Fleetwood Town	6	2	4	0	+3	10	DWDDD
8	Crewe Alexandra	6	2	4	0	+2	10	DDDDW
9	Swindon Town	6	3	1	2	-2	10	LWWLW
10	Tranmere	6	2	3	1	+2	9	LWDDD
11	Gillingham	6	2	3	1	+2	9	WWDDD
12	Chesterfield	6	2	2	2	0	8	WDDLW
13	Colchester	6	2	2	2	-2	8	DLLWW
14	Oldham	6	2	1	3	+1	7	LLDWL
15	Salford City	6	2	1	3	-2	7	DWWLL
16	Rotherham	6	1	3	2	-1	6	DLDWD
17	Northampton	6	1	3	2	-2	6	LWDDL
18	Shrewsbury Town	6	2	0	4	-6	6	WLLWL
19	Newport County	6	1	2	3	-1	5	DLLDL
20	Exeter City	6	1	2	3	-1	5	LDDLW
21	Accrington ST	6	1	2	3	-3	5	LWDLL
22	Port Vale	6	1	2	3	-4	5	WLLDD
23	Crawley Town	6	1	1	4	-5	4	LLDLW
24	Rochdale	6	1	1	4	-5	4	DLWLL

Managers: Swindon Town v Port Vale

Swindon TownManagerScott Holloway Ian

Port ValeManagerJ. Brady

Match information: Swindon Town v Port Vale

Kick-off: Tue 1 Sep · 18:45
Competition: English League Two
Round: Regular Season – 4