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Real Madrid v Málaga

La Liga
Real Madrid
4:0
Full time
Málaga

Real Madrid v Málaga in La Liga ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Real Madrid v Málaga

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Real Madrid at 53.2% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Real Madrid X 2 · Málaga Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 60.5% 22.7% 16.8% Home win · Real Madrid ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 53.2% 19.2% 27.6% Home win · Real Madrid ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Real Madrid ✔ Correct
Final score 4:0 Home win · Real Madrid
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.10 on a Real Madrid win, 10.57 on the draw and 22.49 on a Málaga win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Real Madrid win 1.10 1.12 1xBet 90.9% 53.2%
Draw 10.57 12.00 BetVictor 9.5% 19.2%
Málaga win 22.49 27.00 Betano 4.4% 27.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.27 1.33 Superbet 78.7% 54.8%
Under 2.5 goals 3.66 3.80 Betfair 27.3% 45.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.08 2.20 Superbet 48.1% 52.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.70 1.75 10Bet 58.8% 47.3%
Updated: 30.08.2026 10:09 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Real Madrid v Málaga

  1. 19′J. Bellingham · Goal
  2. 26′A. Herrero · Own goal
  3. 30′K. Mbappe · Goal (assist: T. Alexander-Arnold)

Match statistics: Real Madrid v Málaga

Statistic Real Madrid Málaga
Possession 62% 38%
Shots on target 4 0
Total shots 10 6
Shots off target 1 5
Blocked shots 5 1
Corners 6 1
Fouls 2 5
Saves 0 1
Passes 321 203
Pass accuracy 94% 87%

Line-ups: Real Madrid v Málaga

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Thibaut Courtois 6.3
  2. 4 Dean Huijsen 6.7
  3. 5 Jude Bellingham 7.7
  4. 6 Eduardo Camavinga 7.0
  5. 7 Vinícius Júnior 6.7
  6. 8 Federico Valverde 6.6
  7. 10 Kylian Mbappé 8.2
  8. 12 Trent Alexander-Arnold 7.3
  9. 17 Marc Cucurella 6.6
  10. 21 Brahim Díaz 6.6
  11. 22 Antonio Rüdiger 6.9
Substitutes (12)
  1. 13 Andriy Lunin
  2. 15 Arda Güler
  3. 16 Ibrahima Konaté
  4. 18 Álvaro Carreras
  5. 19 Carlos Espí
  6. 20 Bernardo Silva
  7. 24 Denzel Dumfries
  8. 25 Yan Diomande
  9. 29 Jorge Cestero
  10. 31 Javi Navarro
  11. 33 Mario Rivas
  12. 36 Alexis Ciria

Málaga 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Alfonso Herrero 5.3
  2. 3 Carlos Puga 6.3
  3. 4 Einar Galilea 6.0
  4. 8 Carlos Dotor 6.6
  5. 9 Chupete 6.5
  6. 10 David Larrubia 6.3
  7. 11 Joaquín Muñoz 6.5
  8. 14 Rafa Rodriguez 6.2
  9. 15 Ángel Recio 6.5
  10. 23 Izan Merino 6.2
  11. 31 Rafa Garrido 6.3
Substitutes (11)
  1. 5 Álex Pastor
  2. 6 Ramón Enríquez
  3. 7 Haitam Abaida
  4. 12 Jose Salinas
  5. 13 Carlos Lopez
  6. 17 Eneko Jauregi
  7. 18 Pablo Martínez
  8. 19 Juan Cruz
  9. 24 Julen Lobete
  10. 28 Joseph Otunenche
  11. 32 Juan Fernandéz

Form and head-to-head: Real Madrid v Málaga

Real Madrid

WWLWW

Málaga

DDDLW

La Liga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 FC Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +17 15 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 +10 12 WLWWW
3 Deportivo Alavés 5 3 1 1 +6 10 LWWDW
4 Atlético de Madrid 5 3 1 1 +4 10 WLWDW
5 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +2 10 WDLWW
6 Deportivo A Coruña 5 2 3 0 +3 9 DWWDD
7 Real Betis 4 3 0 1 0 9 WLWW
8 Espanyol 5 2 1 2 +3 7 WDLLW
9 Athletic Club 5 2 1 2 +1 7 DWWLL
10 Racing Santander 5 2 1 2 0 7 WLWLD
11 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 -3 7 LLWWD
12 Real Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LWDWL
13 Levante 5 1 2 2 -2 5 LDWDL
14 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -3 5 DDLWL
15 Celta de Vigo 6 0 4 2 -3 4 DDDLL
16 Rayo Vallecano 5 1 1 3 -6 4 LWLDL
17 Málaga 5 0 3 2 -6 3 DDLDL
18 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 -2 2 LLDD
19 Elche 5 0 2 3 -7 2 DLLLD
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 -9 1 LLLLD

Managers: Real Madrid v Málaga

José Mourinho
Real MadridManagerJosé Mourinho
Juan Funes
MálagaManagerJuan Funes

Match information: Real Madrid v Málaga

Kick-off
·
Competition
La Liga
Round
3
City
Madrid
Surface
grass
Capacity
84,744