River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia in Liga Profesional de Fútbol ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Independiente Rivadavia at 39.6% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · River Plate
X
2 · Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
38.7%
32.4%
29.0%
Home win · River Plate
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
33.4%
27.0%
39.6%
Away win · Independiente Rivadavia
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Independiente Rivadavia
✘ Missed
Final score
3:1
Home win · River Plate
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.72 on a River Plate win, 3.43 on the draw and 5.21 on a Independiente Rivadavia win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
River Plate win
1.72
1.73William Hill
58.1%
33.4%
Draw
3.43
3.501xBet
29.2%
27%
Independiente Rivadavia win
5.21
5.50Bet365
19.2%
39.6%
Over 2.5 goals
2.31
2.35Bet365
43.3%
48.6%
Under 2.5 goals
1.58
1.601xBet
63.3%
51.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.15
2.20Bet365
46.5%
55%
Both teams to score - No
1.63
1.65William Hill
61.3%
45%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:23 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia
17′🟨Matías Fernández · Yellow card
29′🟨Alex Arce · Yellow card
30′⚽Gonzalo Montiel · Penalty
38′🟨Iván Villalba · Yellow card
40′🟨Jose Ignacio Florentin · Yellow card
43′🟨Nicolás Otamendi · Yellow card
54′⚽Tomás Ezequiel Galván · Goal
57′🔄Fabrizio Sartori Prieto · Substitution (off: Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta)
57′🔄Gonzalo Rios · Substitution (off: Luis Sequeira)
66′🔄Alejo Osella · Substitution (off: Alex Vigo)
68′⚽Alex Arce · Goal (assist: Jose Ignacio Florentin)
70′🟨Lucas Martinez Quarta · Yellow card
77′🔄Tobías Andrada · Substitution (off: Lucas Beltran)
77′🔄Sebastián Driussi · Substitution (off: Juan Cruz Meza)
80′⚽Tomás Ezequiel Galván · Goal (assist: Lucas Beltran)
81′🔄Marcos Acuña · Substitution (off: Francisco Ortega)