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River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol
River Plate
2:2
Full time
Vélez Sarsfield

River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional de Fútbol ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · River Plate at 37.8% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · River Plate X 2 · Vélez Sarsfield Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 32.8% 32.9% 34.2% Away win · Vélez Sarsfield ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 37.8% 27.5% 34.7% Home win · River Plate ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · River Plate ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.68 on a River Plate win, 3.42 on the draw and 5.67 on a Vélez Sarsfield win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
River Plate win 1.68 1.75 Betano 59.5% 37.8%
Draw 3.42 3.55 Betano 29.2% 27.5%
Vélez Sarsfield win 5.67 6.23 Pinnacle 17.6% 34.7%
Over 2.5 goals 2.40 2.47 Pinnacle 41.7% 41.9%
Under 2.5 goals 1.55 1.58 Pinnacle 64.5% 58.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.25 2.30 Betfair 44.4% 47.4%
Both teams to score - No 1.59 1.62 Bet365 62.9% 52.6%
Updated: 23.08.2026 20:46 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

  1. 11′A. Correa · Goal (assist: L. Martinez Quarta)
  2. 41′A. Moreno · Yellow card
  3. 43′T. Silvero · Own goal
  4. 58′S. Escobar · Substitution (off: D. Valdes)
  5. 58′T. Aguirre · Substitution (off: D. Godoy)
  6. 61′D. Valdes · Goal (assist: M. Pellegrini)
  7. 70′A. Correa · Substitution (off: R. Borre)
  8. 74′E. Gomez · Yellow card
  9. 79′M. Lanzini · Goal (assist: E. Gomez)
  10. 80′L. Martinez Quarta · Yellow card
  11. 84′J. Freitas · Substitution (off: L. Pereyra)
  12. 84′L. Beltran · Substitution (off: S. Driussi)
  13. 87′M. Lanzini · Substitution (off: A. Veron)
  14. 90+4′R. Aliendro · Substitution (off: L. Feler)

Match statistics: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

Statistic River Plate Vélez Sarsfield
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 3 4
Total shots 12 11
Shots off target 6 4
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 3 4
Fouls 12 10
Offsides 4 0
Yellow cards 2 1
Saves 2 2
Passes 530 400
Pass accuracy 84% 79%

Line-ups: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

River Plate 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Francisco Ortega 6.7
  2. 6 Aníbal Moreno 7.2
  3. 10 Ángel Correa 7.3
  4. 18 Lucas Beltrán 6.2
  5. 20 Giovanni González 7.2
  6. 23 Thiago Almada 6.7
  7. 28 Lucas Martínez Quarta 6.9
  8. 30 Nicolás Otamendi 6.6
  9. 35 Joaquín Freitas 6.7
  10. 41 Santiago Beltrán 6.2
  11. 50 Tobías Andrada 6.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 8 Mauro Arambarri
  2. 9 Sebastián Driussi
  3. 13 Lautaro Rivero
  4. 15 Fausto Vera
  5. 19 Rafael Borré 6.5
  6. 21 Marcos Acuña
  7. 24 Juan Cruz Meza
  8. 25 Lautaro Pereyra
  9. 26 Tomás Galván
  10. 29 Gonzalo Montiel
  11. 33 Ezequiel Centurión
  12. 44 Lucas Silva

Vélez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Tomás Marchiori 6.0
  2. 3 Elías Gómez 6.3
  3. 4 Joaquín García 6.2
  4. 8 Lucas Robertone 6.2
  5. 11 Matías Pellegrini 6.3
  6. 16 Lisandro Magallán 6.7
  7. 18 Simon Escobar 6.0
  8. 22 Manuel Lanzini 7.2
  9. 29 Rodrigo Aliendro 7.2
  10. 32 Thiago Silvero 5.6
  11. 39 Thiago Aguirre 6.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Emanuel Mammana
  2. 5 Claudio Baeza
  3. 10 Diego Valdés 7.5
  4. 15 Dilan Godoy 6.7
  5. 17 Alex Verón
  6. 19 Leo Cristaldo
  7. 23 Facundo Sanguinetti
  8. 30 Lautaro Piola
  9. 35 Matias Arias
  10. 37 Juan Cruz Policella
  11. 47 Alexis Pereyra
  12. 48 Luca Feler

Form and head-to-head: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

River Plate

WWWWL

Vélez Sarsfield

DWDDD

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

River Plate wins: 0; draws: 1; Vélez Sarsfield wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Vélez Sarsfield 0–0 River Plate Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Managers: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

Eduardo Coudet
River PlateManagerEduardo Coudet
Guilermo Barros Schelotto
Vélez SarsfieldManagerGuilermo Barros Schelotto

Match information: River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Round
6
City
Federal Capital
Surface
grass
Capacity
61,321