Rochdale v Gillingham

Rochdale v Gillingham in English League Two ended 1:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Rochdale v Gillingham

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Rochdale at 48.6% - the match finished 1:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Rochdale X 2 · Gillingham Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.4% 27.4% 21.2% Home win · Rochdale ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 48.6% 21.8% 29.6% Home win · Rochdale ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Gillingham ✔ Correct
Final score 1:4 Away win · Gillingham
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.07 on a Rochdale win, 3.32 on the draw and 3.40 on a Gillingham win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Rochdale win 2.07 2.11 Dafabet 48.3% 48.6%
Draw 3.32 3.50 Betfair 30.1% 21.8%
Gillingham win 3.40 3.50 Betfair 29.4% 29.6%
Over 2.5 goals 2.03 2.09 Pinnacle 49.3% 53.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.74 1.80 Betfair 57.5% 46.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.81 1.87 Betfair 55.2% 48%
Both teams to score - No 1.89 1.95 William Hill 52.9% 52%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Rochdale v Gillingham

  1. 9′Conor McManus · Yellow card
  2. 18′W. Goodwin · Substitution (off: Lamin Sillah)
  3. 18′Zech Obiero · Substitution (off: Eli King)
  4. 33′James Brophy · Goal (assist: Nick Freeman)
  5. 45′Conor McManus · Substitution (off: Robbie McKenzie)
  6. 51′Edward Francis · Yellow card
  7. 53′Omar Beckles · Goal
  8. 56′Lamin Sillah · Goal (assist: Andy Smith)
  9. 64′Logan Dobbs · Substitution (off: Jack Daley)
  10. 66′Zain Silcott-Duberry · Substitution (off: Harvey Gilmour)
  11. 68′James Brophy · Goal (assist: Eli King)
  12. 73′Harry Waldock · Substitution (off: S. Kendall)
  13. 81′Luke Hannant · Substitution (off: Jonny Smith)
  14. 81′Dajaune Brown · Substitution (off: Glenn Middleton)
  15. 87′Charlie Tasker · Goal (assist: Glenn Middleton)
  16. 88′Emmanuel Dieseruvwe · Substitution (off: Ian Henderson)

Match statistics: Rochdale v Gillingham

Statistic Rochdale Gillingham
Possession 54% 46%
Shots on target 4 6
Total shots 7 16
Shots off target 2 7
Blocked shots 1 3
Corners 6 6
Fouls 12 12
Offsides 2 6
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 1 0
Saves 2 3
Passes 425 354

Line-ups: Rochdale v Gillingham

Rochdale 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Nils Ramming 5.8
  2. 2 C. Tasker 7.0
  3. 3 Kaiden Wilson 5.1
  4. 9 E. Dieseruvwe 6.4
  5. 11 Z. Silcott-Duberry 6.0
  6. 14 E. Francis 5.3
  7. 17 B. Adeeko 5.6
  8. 19 L. Hannant 5.6
  9. 21 Kane Taylor 5.4
  10. 22 D. Moss 6.2
  11. 39 D. Brown 5.7
Substitutes (7)
  1. 8 H. Gilmour 5.9
  2. 13 O. Adebayo-Rowling
  3. 18 J. Smith 5.8
  4. 20 Sam William John Waller
  5. 26 S. Sherring
  6. 40 I. Henderson 6.3
  7. 45 G. Middleton 5.9

Gillingham 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 O. Wright 6.0
  2. 3 Conor McManus 6.4
  3. 5 A. Smith 7.3
  4. 9 W. Goodwin 6.5
  5. 10 Ronan Hale 6.7
  6. 16 J. Brophy 9.2
  7. 19 O. Beckles 7.7
  8. 22 N. Freeman 7.5
  9. 24 H. Waldock 6.7
  10. 26 L. Dobbs 6.6
  11. 35 Z. Obiero 6.5
Substitutes (7)
  1. 11 L. Sillah 6.8
  2. 12 G. McCleary
  3. 13 T. Holtam
  4. 14 R. McKenzie 6.6
  5. 18 S. Kendall 6.4
  6. 20 J. Daley 6.9
  7. 34 E. King 7.3

Form and head-to-head: Rochdale v Gillingham

Rochdale

DWLLL

Gillingham

WDDDL

English League Two standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Rochdale v Gillingham

G. Ainsworth
GillinghamManagerG. Ainsworth

Match information: Rochdale v Gillingham

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 5