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Colchester v Rochdale

English League Two
Colchester
1:0
Full time
Rochdale

Colchester v Rochdale in English League Two ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Colchester v Rochdale

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Colchester at 62.7% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Colchester X 2 · Rochdale Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 56.8% 26.0% 17.2% Home win · Colchester ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 62.7% 17.0% 20.3% Home win · Colchester ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Colchester ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Colchester
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.14 on a Colchester win, 3.36 on the draw and 3.22 on a Rochdale win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Colchester win 2.14 2.32 10Bet 46.7% 62.7%
Draw 3.36 3.59 Pinnacle 29.8% 17%
Rochdale win 3.22 3.44 Pinnacle 31.1% 20.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.95 2.00 Betano 51.3% 64.9%
Under 2.5 goals 1.81 1.87 Betfair 55.2% 35.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.74 1.78 Betano 57.5% 52.4%
Both teams to score - No 1.97 2.10 Betfair 50.8% 47.6%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Colchester v Rochdale

  1. 37′R. Hunt · Yellow card
  2. 40′H. Gilmour · Yellow card
  3. 57′B. Ihionvien · Substitution (off: L. Chiwome)
  4. 57′O. Thorn · Substitution (off: J. Williams)
  5. 69′Z. Silcott-Duberry · Substitution (off: L. Hannant)
  6. 71′I. Watson · Yellow card
  7. 74′M. Sesay · Substitution (off: F. Terry)
  8. 79′H. Gilmour · Substitution (off: E. Francis)
  9. 79′K. Taylor · Substitution (off: J. Smith)
  10. 80′D. Moss · Yellow card
  11. 85′R. Hunt · Substitution (off: K. Connolly)
  12. 87′J. Williams · Goal (assist: K. Vincent-Young)
  13. 88′R. East · Substitution (off: E. Dieseruvwe)

Match statistics: Colchester v Rochdale

Statistic Colchester Rochdale
Possession 49% 51%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 11 11
Shots off target 1 5
Blocked shots 5 2
Corners 5 3
Fouls 10 15
Offsides 5 1
Yellow cards 1 2
Saves 4 4
Passes 375 397
Pass accuracy 77% 75%

Line-ups: Colchester v Rochdale

Colchester 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Rob Hunt 6.6
  2. 3 Ellis Iandolo 7.5
  3. 5 Jack Tucker 6.9
  4. 7 Harry Anderson 7.2
  5. 9 Bradley Ihionvien 6.3
  6. 10 Jack Payne 6.9
  7. 12 Moses Sesay 7.3
  8. 20 Sean Raggett 7.2
  9. 22 Thimothee Lo-Tutala 7.3
  10. 27 Oscar Thorn 6.3
  11. 30 Kane Vincent-Young 7.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 Tom Smith
  2. 6 Paul Digby
  3. 11 Leon Chiwome 6.5
  4. 17 Jaden Williams 7.9
  5. 24 Frankie Terry 6.9
  6. 39 Kien Connolly 6.3
  7. 44 Samuel Kuffour

Rochdale 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Nils Ramming 7.3
  2. 3 Kaiden Wilson 6.2
  3. 4 Ryan East 6.6
  4. 6 Ethan Ebanks-Landell 7.5
  5. 8 Harvey Gilmour 6.9
  6. 11 Zain Silcott-Duberry 6.2
  7. 17 Babajide Adeeko 6.3
  8. 21 Kane Taylor 6.3
  9. 22 Daniel Moss 7.0
  10. 26 Sam Sherring 6.5
  11. 39 Dajaune Brown 6.2
Substitutes (7)
  1. 9 Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 6.3
  2. 13 Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
  3. 14 Edward Francis 6.5
  4. 18 Jonny Smith 6.2
  5. 19 Luke Hanannt 6.5
  6. 20 Sam Waller
  7. 40 Ian Henderson

Form and head-to-head: Colchester v Rochdale

Colchester

DLLWD

Rochdale

DLWLL

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Colchester v Rochdale

D. Cowley
ColchesterManagerD. CowleyEngland
I. Watson
RochdaleManagerI. Watson

Match information: Colchester v Rochdale

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 3