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Sarmiento v Estudiantes

Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Sarmiento
2:0
Full time
Estudiantes

Sarmiento v Estudiantes in Liga Profesional de Fútbol ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Sarmiento at 37.7% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Sarmiento X 2 · Estudiantes Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 42.9% 31.8% 25.3% Home win · Sarmiento ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 37.7% 26.8% 35.5% Home win · Sarmiento ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Sarmiento ✔ Correct
Final score 2:0 Home win · Sarmiento
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.30 on a Sarmiento win, 2.92 on the draw and 2.36 on a Estudiantes win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Sarmiento win 3.30 3.50 Bet365 30.3% 37.7%
Draw 2.92 3.03 Pinnacle 34.2% 26.8%
Estudiantes win 2.36 2.46 Pinnacle 42.4% 35.5%
Over 2.5 goals 2.58 2.74 Pinnacle 38.8% 49.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.47 1.50 Betano 68% 50.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.10 2.15 Betfair 47.6% 49.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.67 1.70 Bet365 59.9% 50.8%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

  1. 6′L. Alario · Yellow card
  2. 18′M. Martinez · Goal (assist: J. Mavilla)
  3. 26′J. Contrera · Yellow card
  4. 40′J. Pereyra · Yellow card
  5. 46′E. Meza · Substitution (off: E. Mancuso)
  6. 46′Perez Fabricio · Substitution (off: E. Cetre)
  7. 54′L. Suarez · Yellow card
  8. 58′J. Contrera · Substitution (off: U. Gimenez)
  9. 65′J. Pereyra · Substitution (off: J. Sosa)
  10. 65′B. Aguirre · Substitution (off: J. Burgos)
  11. 68′J. Herrera · Substitution (off: Diego Churin)
  12. 68′J. Mavilla · Substitution (off: G. Gonzalez)
  13. 75′A. Castro · Substitution (off: G. Carrillo)
  14. 80′G. Gonzalez · Goal (assist: J. Marabel)
  15. 82′J. Marabel · Substitution (off: G. Arturia)
  16. 82′J. Correa · Yellow card
  17. 86′J. Correa · Penalty missed
  18. 90+3′E. Mancuso · Yellow card

Match statistics: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

Statistic Sarmiento Estudiantes
Possession 24% 76%
Shots on target 6 6
Total shots 11 19
Shots off target 5 9
Blocked shots 0 4
Corners 3 5
Fouls 17 9
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 2 4
Saves 6 3
Passes 179 578
Pass accuracy 59% 88%

Line-ups: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

Sarmiento 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 2 Juan Manuel Insaurralde 6.9
  2. 3 Lucas Suárez 7.2
  3. 8 Santiago Salle 7.0
  4. 12 Thyago Ayala 9.6
  5. 15 Cristian Zabala 7.5
  6. 16 Mauricio Martínez 8.2
  7. 19 Julian Contrera 6.6
  8. 21 Julián Mavilla 6.9
  9. 24 Jonathan Herrera 7.2
  10. 27 Junior Marabel 6.9
  11. 44 Renzo Orihuela 6.5
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Iván Arboleda
  2. 5 Manuel Garcia
  3. 6 Gastón Arturia 6.6
  4. 7 Pablo Magnin
  5. 9 Diego Churin 6.6
  6. 11 Gastón González 7.3
  7. 17 Agustin Nadruz
  8. 20 Ulises Giménez 6.6
  9. 23 Elián Giménez
  10. 29 Thiago Santamaría
  11. 33 Gabriel Díaz
  12. 77 Nicolás Pasquini

Estudiantes 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16 Fernando Muslera 7.2
  2. 20 Eric Meza 6.3
  3. 21 Ezequiel Piovi 7.3
  4. 22 Alexis Castro 6.5
  5. 24 Tomás Palacios 6.5
  6. 27 Lucas Alario 6.2
  7. 28 Brian Aguirre 6.5
  8. 29 Fabricio Pérez 6.2
  9. 32 Joaquín Correa 6.3
  10. 35 Valente Pierani 6.9
  11. 36 Joaquin Pereyra 6.5
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Fabricio Iacovich
  2. 4 Santiago Núñez
  3. 7 José Sosa 6.7
  4. 8 Gabriel Neves
  5. 9 Guido Carrillo 6.9
  6. 11 Facundo Farías
  7. 13 Gastón Benedetti
  8. 17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos 6.3
  9. 18 Edwuin Cetré 7.2
  10. 26 Ramiro Funes Mori
  11. 31 Baltasar Rodriguez
  12. 40 Eros Mancuso 6.9

Form and head-to-head: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

Sarmiento

DWLWW

Estudiantes

WDLDW

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Sarmiento wins: 0; draws: 0; Estudiantes wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Estudiantes 1–0 Sarmiento Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Managers: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

F. Sava
SarmientoManagerF. Sava
Alexander Medina
EstudiantesManagerAlexander Medina

Match information: Sarmiento v Estudiantes

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Round
6
City
Junín
Surface
grass
Capacity
22,000