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Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield
1:0
Full time
Estudiantes

Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes in Liga Profesional de Fútbol ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Vélez Sarsfield at 42.4% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Vélez Sarsfield X 2 · Estudiantes Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 47.1% 30.4% 22.4% Home win · Vélez Sarsfield ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.4% 24.9% 32.8% Home win · Vélez Sarsfield ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Vélez Sarsfield ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Vélez Sarsfield
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.73 on a Vélez Sarsfield win, 2.69 on the draw and 3.12 on a Estudiantes win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Vélez Sarsfield win 2.73 2.80 Pinnacle 36.6% 42.4%
Draw 2.69 2.80 BetVictor 37.2% 24.9%
Estudiantes win 3.12 3.40 1xBet 32.1% 32.8%
Over 2.5 goals 3.23 3.68 1xBet 31% 45.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.33 1.40 Bet365 75.2% 54.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.38 2.60 1xBet 42% 51.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.53 1.62 Bet365 65.4% 48.5%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

  1. 25′Thiago Silvero · Yellow card
  2. 33′Alexis Castro · Yellow card
  3. 40′Ronaldo Martinez · Goal (assist: Thiago Silvero)
  4. 45+1′Tiago Tomas Palacios · Yellow card
  5. 45′Gabriel Neves · Substitution (off: Lucas Piovi)
  6. 45′Brian Aguirre · Substitution (off: Joaquín Correa)
  7. 47′Edwuin Cetre · Yellow card
  8. 56′Lucas Piovi · Yellow card
  9. 65′Adolfo Gaich · Substitution (off: Guido Carrillo)
  10. 65′Edwuin Cetre · Substitution (off: Joaquín Tobio Burgos)
  11. 65′Juan Cruz Policella · Substitution (off: Manuel Lanzini)
  12. 72′Lucas Robertone · Substitution (off: Luca Feler)
  13. 73′Ronaldo Martinez · Substitution (off: Thiago Aguirre)
  14. 73′Matías Pellegrini · Yellow card
  15. 77′Leandro Gonzalez Pirez · Substitution (off: Santiago Núñez)
  16. 90′Matías Pellegrini · Substitution (off: Matias Arias)
  17. 90+5′Joaquín Correa · Yellow card

Match statistics: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Statistic Vélez Sarsfield Estudiantes
Possession 45% 55%
Shots on target 3 2
Total shots 11 6
Shots off target 5 2
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 5 1
Fouls 16 18
Offsides 1 5
Yellow cards 2 5
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 2
Passes 373 465

Line-ups: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Vélez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 T. Marchiori 6.8
  2. 2 E. Mammana 6.7
  3. 3 Elías Gómez 6.3
  4. 4 J. García 6.1
  5. 8 L. Robertone 6.8
  6. 11 M. Pellegrini 6.0
  7. 18 S. Escobar 6.2
  8. 29 R. Aliendro 6.2
  9. 32 Thiago Silveor 6.5
  10. 37 J. Policella 6.4
  11. 77 R. Martínez 8.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 5 C. Baeza
  2. 15 D. Godoy
  3. 16 L. Magallán
  4. 17 A. Verón
  5. 19 L. Cristaldo
  6. 22 M. Lanzini 6.4
  7. 23 F. Sanguinetti
  8. 30 L. Piola
  9. 35 M. Arias
  10. 39 T. Aguirre 6.5
  11. 47 A. Pereyra
  12. 48 Luca Feler 6.6

Estudiantes 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 G. Neves 6.2
  2. 13 G. Benedetti 6.4
  3. 14 L. González 6.4
  4. 16 F. Muslera 6.6
  5. 18 E. Cetré 6.1
  6. 19 A. Gaich 6.8
  7. 20 E. Meza 6.0
  8. 22 A. Castro 6.3
  9. 24 T. Palacios 6.7
  10. 28 B. Aguirre 6.6
  11. 31 B. Gallego 6.4
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 F. Iacovich
  2. 4 S. Núñez 6.8
  3. 7 J. Sosa
  4. 9 G. Carrillo 6.5
  5. 17 J. Burgos 6.9
  6. 21 Lucas Ezequiel Piovi 6.1
  7. 27 L. Alario
  8. 29 F. Pérez Escudero
  9. 32 J. Correa 6.6
  10. 34 M. Monsalve
  11. 39 J. Elías
  12. 40 E. Mancuso

Form and head-to-head: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Vélez Sarsfield

DDDDD

Estudiantes

WDDLW

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Vélez Sarsfield wins: 1; draws: 0; Estudiantes wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Estudiantes 0–1 Vélez Sarsfield Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de Fútbol standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Vélez Sarsfield 9 4 5 0 +5 17 DWDDD
1 Argentinos Juniors 8 5 2 1 +5 17 DWDLW
2 Defensa y Justicia 9 5 2 2 +2 17 WLWWD
2 Sarmiento 8 5 0 3 +3 15 WLWWW
3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 9 5 1 3 +5 16 LDWWW
3 Gimnasia La Plata 8 5 0 3 0 15 WWLLW
4 Instituto 8 5 1 2 +3 16 LWDWW
4 Independiente Rivadavia 9 4 2 3 0 14 WLWDL
5 Boca Juniors 9 3 5 1 +1 14 WDWDD
5 River Plate 9 4 1 4 +2 13 WWWDW
6 Unión Santa Fe 9 4 1 4 +2 13 LWWWL
6 Atlético Tucumán 9 3 4 2 +2 13 LWDDW
7 Newell's Old Boys 9 3 4 2 +2 13 DDDWW
7 Belgrano 8 3 3 2 +3 12 DDLWW
8 Independiente 8 4 1 3 +1 13 WLDWL
8 Tigre 8 3 3 2 +2 12 LDWDW
9 Estudiantes 9 3 1 5 0 10 WLDLW
9 Rosario Central 8 3 3 2 +1 12 DLDWW
10 Lanús 8 3 1 4 0 10 WLDLW
10 Barracas Central 8 3 2 3 -1 11 DDLLL
11 San Lorenzo 8 3 1 4 -2 10 WLDWL
11 Huracán 8 2 4 2 0 10 DDDLW
12 Deportivo Riestra 8 2 3 3 +1 9 DDDLW
12 Banfield 8 2 1 5 -5 7 LLLWL
13 Platense 9 2 3 4 -5 9 LDLWD
13 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 8 1 3 4 -6 6 LDDLL
14 Talleres Córdoba 9 2 2 5 -4 8 WLDDL
14 Aldosivi 9 1 2 6 -5 5 LWLLD
15 Central Cordoba SdE 9 2 1 6 -6 7 LLDLL
15 Racing Club 8 1 2 5 -6 5 LLDLL

Managers: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Guilermo Barros Schelotto
Vélez SarsfieldManagerGuilermo Barros Schelotto
Alexander Medina
EstudiantesManagerAlexander Medina

Match information: Vélez Sarsfield v Estudiantes

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Round
Clausura – 8
City
Buenos Aires
Surface
grass
Capacity
49,540