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Stevenage v Oxford United

English League One
Stevenage
1:2
Full time
Oxford United

Stevenage v Oxford United in English League One ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Stevenage v Oxford United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Stevenage at 44.4% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Stevenage X 2 · Oxford United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 56.5% 23.0% 20.5% Home win · Stevenage ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.4% 22.6% 33.0% Home win · Stevenage ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Oxford United ✔ Correct
Final score 1:2 Away win · Oxford United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.50 on a Stevenage win, 3.13 on the draw and 2.82 on a Oxford United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Stevenage win 2.50 2.61 Pinnacle 40% 44.4%
Draw 3.13 3.30 Betfair 31.9% 22.6%
Oxford United win 2.82 3.00 10Bet 35.5% 33%
Over 2.5 goals 2.13 2.24 Pinnacle 46.9% 59.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.68 1.73 10Bet 59.5% 40.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.82 1.87 Betfair 54.9% 54.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.89 1.95 William Hill 52.9% 45.8%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Stevenage v Oxford United

  1. 9′J. Cumming · Substitution (off: S. Eastwood)
  2. 15′M. Helik · Yellow card
  3. 33′J. Pattenden · Substitution (off: J. Houghton)
  4. 56′L. Freestone · Yellow card
  5. 60′C. Brannagan · Yellow card
  6. 65′L. Sibley · Substitution (off: G. O'Donkor)
  7. 65′S. Dembele · Substitution (off: S. Mills)
  8. 67′G. O'Donkor · Goal

Match statistics: Stevenage v Oxford United

Statistic Stevenage Oxford United
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 0 1
Total shots 6 4
Shots off target 4 0
Blocked shots 2 3
Corners 2 3
Fouls 9 5
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 1 0
Passes 110 146
Pass accuracy 67% 73%

Line-ups: Stevenage v Oxford United

Stevenage 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Filip Marschall 6.5
  2. 5 Carl Piergianni 6.6
  3. 6 Lewis Freestone 6.9
  4. 8 Daniel Phillips 6.3
  5. 9 Josh Magennis 6.2
  6. 10 Daniel Kemp 6.7
  7. 14 Saxon Earley 7.2
  8. 15 Terence Vancooten 6.6
  9. 17 Jasper Pattenden 6.3
  10. 19 Jamie Reid 6.5
  11. 23 Louis Thompson 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 4 Jordan Houghton 6.5
  2. 7 Terry Taylor
  3. 11 Jordan Roberts
  4. 12 Daniel Barden
  5. 18 Oliver Sanderson
  6. 22 Jack Taylor
  7. 44 Phoenix Patterson

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Jamie Cumming 6.7
  2. 3 Ciaron Brown 6.9
  3. 6 Michał Helik 6.5
  4. 8 Cameron Brannagan 6.3
  5. 9 Mark Harris 6.3
  6. 10 Aidomo Emakhu 6.2
  7. 18 Jamie McDonnell 6.7
  8. 23 Siriki Dembélé 6.9
  9. 26 Jack Currie 6.7
  10. 30 Peter Kioso 7.0
  11. 32 Louie Sibley 7.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 2 Sam Long
  2. 11 Tyler Goodrham
  3. 13 Simon Eastwood 6.5
  4. 15 Brodie Spencer
  5. 17 Stanley Mills
  6. 19 Gatlin O'Donkor
  7. 57 Mo Missanga

Form and head-to-head: Stevenage v Oxford United

Stevenage

WWDDL

Oxford United

WWLDL

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Match information: Stevenage v Oxford United

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 2