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Stevenage v Luton Town

English League One
Stevenage
2:1
Full time
Luton Town

Stevenage v Luton Town in English League One ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Stevenage v Luton Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Stevenage at 41.8% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Stevenage X 2 · Luton Town Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 47.0% 25.0% 28.0% Home win · Stevenage ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.8% 23.3% 34.9% Home win · Stevenage ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Final score 2:1 Home win · Stevenage
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.99 on a Stevenage win, 3.36 on the draw and 2.24 on a Luton Town win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Stevenage win 2.99 3.10 Bet365 33.4% 41.8%
Draw 3.36 3.61 Pinnacle 29.8% 23.3%
Luton Town win 2.24 2.30 William Hill 44.6% 34.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.93 1.98 Pinnacle 51.8% 60%
Under 2.5 goals 1.83 1.90 Bet365 54.6% 40%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.73 1.75 William Hill 57.8% 59.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.99 2.05 Bet365 50.3% 40.2%
Updated: 07.09.2026 04:56 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Stevenage v Luton Town

  1. 4′Daniel Phillips · Yellow card
  2. 23′Daniel Kemp · Goal
  3. 24′Jack Wilshere · Red card
  4. 26′Lewis Freestone · Yellow card
  5. 30′Liam Walsh · Yellow card
  6. 44′Daniel Kemp · Yellow card
  7. 56′Jordan Roberts · Substitution (off: Ben Broggio)
  8. 58′Gideon kadua · Substitution (off: Kasey Palmer)
  9. 58′Jamie Donley · Substitution (off: Jake Richards)
  10. 66′Callum Marshall · Substitution (off: Nahki Wells)
  11. 70′Josh Magennis · Goal
  12. 75′Mads Juel Andersen · Goal (assist: Kasey Palmer)
  13. 76′O. Sanderson · Substitution (off: Saxon Earley)
  14. 76′Josh Magennis · Substitution (off: Michael Mellon)
  15. 76′Daniel Kemp · Substitution (off: Jordan Houghton)
  16. 80′Saxon Earley · Yellow card
  17. 84′Hakeem Odofin · Substitution (off: Tudor Mendel-Idowu)
  18. 85′Daniel Phillips · Substitution (off: Matthew Smith)
  19. 90+3′Luther Wildin · Yellow card
  20. 90+5′Mads Juel Andersen · Yellow card

Match statistics: Stevenage v Luton Town

Statistic Stevenage Luton Town
Possession 29% 71%
Shots on target 3 2
Total shots 9 10
Shots off target 3 6
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 2 4
Fouls 15 10
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 5 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 1
Passes 255 613

Line-ups: Stevenage v Luton Town

Stevenage 4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 T. Setford 6.0
  2. 2 L. James-Wildin 6.5
  3. 5 C. Piergianni 7.0
  4. 6 L. Freestone 5.9
  5. 8 D. Phillips 6.2
  6. 9 J. Magennis 7.7
  7. 10 D. Kemp 7.4
  8. 11 J. Roberts 6.5
  9. 15 T. Vancooten 6.4
  10. 18 O. Sanderson 6.1
  11. 23 L. Thompson 6.2
Substitutes (7)
  1. 4 J. Houghton 6.4
  2. 12 D. Barden
  3. 14 S. Earley 5.9
  4. 16 K. Casey
  5. 24 M. Smith 5.9
  6. 27 B. Broggio 6.7
  7. 28 M. Mellon 6.3

Luton Town 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 H. Odoffin 6.5
  2. 5 M. Andersen 7.5
  3. 6 G. Johnston 6.1
  4. 8 L. Walsh 7.2
  5. 9 C. Marshall 6.3
  6. 10 J. Donley 6.0
  7. 12 J. Johnson 6.0
  8. 16 Daniel Gore 6.5
  9. 24 Joshua Keeley 5.7
  10. 25 I. Jones 5.8
  11. 30 G. Kodua 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 J. Shea
  2. 3 K. Naismith
  3. 7 J. Richards 5.9
  4. 17 T. Mendel-Idowu 6.2
  5. 21 N. Wells 6.7
  6. 22 H. Fox
  7. 45 K. Palmer 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Stevenage v Luton Town

Stevenage

WDDLL

Luton Town

DWLLD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Stevenage v Luton Town

A. Revell
StevenageManagerA. Revell
J. Wilshere
Luton TownManagerJ. Wilshere

Match information: Stevenage v Luton Town

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 6