Toronto v New York City in Major League Soccer The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Toronto v New York City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · New York City at 37.6% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Toronto
X
2 · New York City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
47.6%
24.5%
27.8%
Home win · Toronto
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
37.1%
25.4%
37.6%
Away win · New York City
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · New York City
✘ Missed
Final score
1:1
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.44 on a Toronto win, 3.60 on the draw and 2.65 on a New York City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Toronto win
2.44
2.53Pinnacle
41%
37.1%
Draw
3.60
3.75Betfair
27.8%
25.4%
New York City win
2.65
2.75Dafabet
37.7%
37.6%
Over 2.5 goals
1.61
1.67Superbet
62.1%
54.2%
Under 2.5 goals
2.30
2.40Pinnacle
43.5%
45.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.50
1.55Superbet
66.7%
56.5%
Both teams to score - No
2.46
2.55Betfair
40.7%
43.5%
Updated: 29.08.2026 22:06 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Toronto v New York City
18′🟨B. Kuscevic · Yellow card
29′⚽N. Mercau · Goal (assist: A. Ojeda)
40′🟨N. Mercau · Yellow card
54′🟨A. Perea · Yellow card
55′🔄D. Etienne · Substitution (off: D. Salloi)
55′🔄K. Franklin · Substitution (off: Matheus Pereira)