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Cincinnati v New York City

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
2:1
Full time
New York City

Cincinnati v New York City in Major League Soccer ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Cincinnati v New York City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Cincinnati at 44.1% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Cincinnati X 2 · New York City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.5% 23.2% 24.3% Home win · Cincinnati ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.1% 20.4% 35.5% Home win · Cincinnati ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Cincinnati
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.85 on a Cincinnati win, 4.03 on the draw and 3.62 on a New York City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Cincinnati win 1.85 1.88 Pinnacle 54.1% 44.1%
Draw 4.03 4.15 Pinnacle 24.8% 20.4%
New York City win 3.62 3.81 Pinnacle 27.6% 35.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.45 1.48 Pinnacle 69% 69.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.69 2.80 10Bet 37.2% 30.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.44 1.50 Bet365 69.4% 67.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.64 2.75 Unibet 37.9% 32.5%
Updated: 19.08.2026 21:54 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Cincinnati v New York City

  1. 11′K. Mboma · Goal (assist: K. Denkey)
  2. 21′Luighi · Goal (assist: A. Ojeda)
  3. 33′M. Miazga · Yellow card
  4. 36′K. Parks · Yellow card
  5. 50′O. Nwobodo · Yellow card
  6. 55′Luighi · Yellow card
  7. 60′M. Miazga · Substitution (off: T. Hadebe)
  8. 60′E. Echenique · Substitution (off: B. J. Ramirez Leon)
  9. 64′Luighi · Substitution (off: S. Reid)
  10. 64′B. Traore · Substitution (off: M. Jones)
  11. 72′O. Nwobodo · Substitution (off: S. Gidi)
  12. 72′K. Denkey · Substitution (off: T. Barlow)
  13. 74′N. Mercau · Yellow card
  14. 75′K. Parks · Substitution (off: J. Shore)
  15. 75′K. O'Toole · Substitution (off: N. Cavallo)
  16. 81′A. Ojeda · Substitution (off: Talles Magno)
  17. 82′S. Gidi · Yellow card
  18. 83′K. Smith · Substitution (off: T. Anunga)
  19. 90+1′Evander · Goal (assist: G. Valenzuela)

Match statistics: Cincinnati v New York City

Statistic Cincinnati New York City
Possession 56% 44%
Shots on target 6 8
Total shots 14 16
Shots off target 7 4
Blocked shots 1 4
Corners 2 5
Fouls 10 9
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 3 3
Saves 7 4
Passes 550 421
Pass accuracy 88% 83%

Line-ups: Cincinnati v New York City

Cincinnati

Starting XI

  1. 5 Obinna Nwobodo 6.7
  2. 9 Kévin Denkey 6.2
  3. 10 Evander 8.3
  4. 12 Miles Robinson 7.2
  5. 17 Kenji Mboma Dem 7.6
  6. 18 Roman Celentano 8.5
  7. 20 Pavel Bucha 6.6
  8. 21 Matt Miazga 6.6
  9. 22 Gerardo Valenzuela 7.3
  10. 24 Kyle Smith 6.9
  11. 66 Ender Echenique 6.7
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Alvas Powell
  2. 4 Nick Hagglund
  3. 11 Samuel Gidi 7.0
  4. 13 Evan Louro
  5. 15 Teenage Hadebe 6.5
  6. 16 Tom Barlow 6.5
  7. 27 Tah Anunga 6.7
  8. 29 Bryan Ramirez 6.3
  9. 99 Ayoub Jabbari

New York City

Starting XI

  1. 6 James Sands 6.5
  2. 7 Nicolás Fernández 7.3
  3. 8 Andrés Perea 6.5
  4. 9 Bénie Traoré 6.3
  5. 20 Luighi Hanri 7.3
  6. 22 Kevin O'Toole 6.2
  7. 24 Tayvon Gray 6.3
  8. 26 Agustin Ojeda 7.0
  9. 34 Raul Gustavo 6.7
  10. 49 Matthew Freese 6.3
  11. 55 Keaton Parks 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Nico Cavallo 6.2
  2. 11 Talles Magno 6.9
  3. 15 Kevin Pierre
  4. 23 Max Murray
  5. 30 Tomás Romero
  6. 32 Jonathan Shore 6.3
  7. 35 Mitja Ilenič
  8. 88 Malachi Jones 6.2
  9. 99 Seymour Garfield-Reid 6.5

Form and head-to-head: Cincinnati v New York City

Cincinnati

DLLDD

New York City

WLDDD

Major League Soccer standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30 WDWWWWDWWL
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28 WDDWWLWLWD
3 New England 13 8 1 4 +5 25 LWWWWLWWLW
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23 WWLWWWDLLW
5 New York City 14 5 4 5 +5 19 DWWLWWDLLD
6 New York RB 14 5 4 5 -8 19 LLDLDLDLWW
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18 WDWLLLDLDW
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17 WDLLDDLDDW
9 Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17 LLDWDLDWWL
10 Toronto 13 3 5 5 -6 14 LLWDWWDDDL
11 Orlando City 14 4 2 8 -17 14 LLLWWLDLDL
12 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13 LDDLWWLDLW
13 CF Montréal 13 4 1 8 -9 13 WLLWLLLWLL
14 Atlanta United 13 3 2 8 -7 11 LLLLWLDWWL
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7 LLLLLLLDDL

Managers: Cincinnati v New York City

P. Noonan
CincinnatiManagerP. Noonan
P. Jansen
New York CityManagerP. Jansen

Match information: Cincinnati v New York City

Kick-off
·
Competition
Major League Soccer
Venue
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati, Ohio
Surface
grass
Capacity
26,000