TSG Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga ended 2:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: TSG Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Borussia Dortmund at 40.0% - the match finished 2:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · TSG Hoffenheim
X
2 · Borussia Dortmund
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.9%
22.5%
22.6%
Home win · TSG Hoffenheim
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
38.4%
21.5%
40.0%
Away win · Borussia Dortmund
✔ Correct
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Borussia Dortmund
✔ Correct
Final score
2:3
Away win · Borussia Dortmund
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.87 on a TSG Hoffenheim win, 3.78 on the draw and 2.24 on a Borussia Dortmund win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
TSG Hoffenheim win
2.87
3.051xBet
34.8%
38.4%
Draw
3.78
4.00Betfair
26.5%
21.5%
Borussia Dortmund win
2.24
2.321xBet
44.6%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
1.45
1.50Betano
69%
62.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.67
2.88Betfair
37.5%
37.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.40
1.44William Hill
71.4%
55.2%
Both teams to score - No
2.81
3.00Betfair
35.6%
44.8%
Updated: 04.09.2026 10:39 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: TSG Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
32′🔄Filippo Mane · Substitution (off: Ethan Nwaneri)
40′🟨Ozan Kabak · Yellow card
45′⚽Leon Avdullahu · Goal (assist: Vladimír Coufal)