Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal in Champions League ended 3:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Borussia Dortmund at 54.0% - the match finished 3:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Borussia Dortmund
X
2 · Villarreal
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
59.6%
21.3%
19.1%
Home win · Borussia Dortmund
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
54.0%
18.2%
27.8%
Home win · Borussia Dortmund
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Borussia Dortmund
✔ Correct
Final score
3:2
Home win · Borussia Dortmund
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.77 on a Borussia Dortmund win, 4.03 on the draw and 4.15 on a Villarreal win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Borussia Dortmund win
1.77
1.811xBet
56.5%
54%
Draw
4.03
4.181xBet
24.8%
18.2%
Villarreal win
4.15
4.281xBet
24.1%
27.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.51
1.53Bet365
66.2%
65.6%
Under 2.5 goals
2.44
2.54Pinnacle
41%
34.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.51
1.55William Hill
66.2%
58.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.42
2.451xBet
41.3%
41.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:24 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.