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Watford v Peterborough United

Carabao Cup
Watford
1:5
Full time
Peterborough United

Watford v Peterborough United in Carabao Cup ended 1:5. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Watford v Peterborough United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Watford at 39.7% - the match finished 1:5, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Watford X 2 · Peterborough United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 35.0% 28.2% 36.9% Away win · Peterborough United ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 39.7% 25.0% 35.3% Home win · Watford ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Watford ✘ Missed
Final score 1:5 Away win · Peterborough United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.71 on a Watford win, 3.94 on the draw and 4.46 on a Peterborough United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Watford win 1.71 1.77 1xBet 58.5% 39.7%
Draw 3.94 4.15 Betano 25.4% 25%
Peterborough United win 4.46 5.00 888Sport 22.4% 35.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.58 1.65 Pinnacle 63.3% 52.9%
Under 2.5 goals 2.29 2.40 888Sport 43.7% 47.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.59 1.62 William Hill 62.9% 53.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.24 2.38 Betfair 44.6% 46.5%
Updated: 25.08.2026 14:53 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Watford v Peterborough United

  1. 10′J. Clarridge · Own goal
  2. 23′H. Leonard · Goal
  3. 46′R. Vata · Substitution (off: A. Nabizada)
  4. 46′R. London · Substitution (off: K. Keben)
  5. 46′V. Masara · Substitution (off: E. Williams)
  6. 51′H. Leonard · Goal (assist: B. Woods)
  7. 55′B. Shofowoke · Goal
  8. 57′L. Espain · Substitution (off: H. Kyprianou)
  9. 64′H. Jones · Goal (assist: B. Woods)
  10. 65′H. Leonard · Substitution (off: D. Kamara)
  11. 65′D. Okagbue · Substitution (off: L. Mendonca)
  12. 65′L. Kelly · Substitution (off: C. Johnston)
  13. 66′B. Woods · Substitution (off: C. Conn-Clarke)
  14. 66′J. Clarridge · Substitution (off: E. Bove)
  15. 66′M. Payero · Substitution (off: O. Maamma)
  16. 73′M. Doumbia · Goal (assist: A. Nabizada)
  17. 83′G. Nevett · Yellow card

Match statistics: Watford v Peterborough United

Statistic Watford Peterborough United
Possession 63% 37%
Shots on target 5 10
Total shots 17 19
Shots off target 9 6
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 2 2
Fouls 7 9
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 6 3
Passes 578 327
Pass accuracy 89% 85%

Line-ups: Watford v Peterborough United

Watford 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 11 Rocco Vata 7.2
  2. 20 Mamadou Doumbia 7.7
  3. 22 Martín Payero 5.5
  4. 26 Daniel Bachmann 7.9
  5. 39 Edo Kayembe 6.6
  6. 48 Michael Adu-Poku 6.3
  7. 52 Leo Ramirez-Espain 6.3
  8. 53 James Clarridge 5.5
  9. 56 Albert Eames 5.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 Kévin Keben Biakolo 5.9
  2. 5 Hector Kyprianou 6.9
  3. 6 Matthew Pollock
  4. 7 Othmane Maamma 7.3
  5. 8 Edoardo Bove 6.7
  6. 17 Iker Bravo
  7. 21 Amin Nabizada 7.2
  8. 24 Sam Walker
  9. 33 Jordan Zemura

Peterborough United 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Alex Bass 6.3
  2. 4 Liam Kelly 7.5
  3. 7 Harrison Jones 7.9
  4. 9 Harry Leonard 7.5
  5. 14 Harley Mills 7.3
  6. 15 George Nevett 6.2
  7. 16 Benjamin Woods 7.9
  8. 17 Vernon Masara 6.9
  9. 19 Bolu Shofowoke 7.0
  10. 26 David Okagbue 7.2
  11. 33 James Dornelly 7.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Carl Johnston 6.5
  2. 3 Evan Weir
  3. 8 Brandon Khela
  4. 10 Ethan Williams 7.7
  5. 11 Owura Edwards
  6. 18 Lucca Mendonça 6.2
  7. 20 Chris Conn-Clarke 6.9
  8. 23 Collin Andeng-Ndi
  9. 29 David Kamara 6.3

Form and head-to-head: Watford v Peterborough United

Watford

LWLLD

Peterborough United

DLDLW

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Watford v Peterborough United

A. Dionisi
WatfordManagerA. Dionisi
L. Williams
Peterborough UnitedManagerL. Williams

Match information: Watford v Peterborough United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
City
Watford
Surface
grass
Capacity
21,400