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Watford v Stoke City

English Championship
Watford
1:2
Full time
Stoke City

Watford v Stoke City in English Championship ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Watford v Stoke City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Watford at 44.0% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Watford X 2 · Stoke City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% Home win · Watford ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.0% 22.5% 33.5% Home win · Watford ✘ Missed
Final score 1:2 Away win · Stoke City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.50 on a Watford win, 3.30 on the draw and 2.73 on a Stoke City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Watford win 2.50 2.57 Betano 40% 44%
Draw 3.30 3.40 Betfair 30.3% 22.5%
Stoke City win 2.73 2.85 Unibet 36.6% 33.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.98 2.02 Betano 50.5% 55.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.79 1.82 Betano 55.9% 44.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.73 1.75 10Bet 57.8% 55%
Both teams to score - No 1.99 2.02 Unibet 50.3% 45%
Updated: 08.09.2026 23:19 · Average odds across 11 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Watford v Stoke City

  1. 19′Iker Bravo · Yellow card
  2. 33′El Hadji Soumare · Yellow card
  3. 42′Jordan Zemura · Substitution (off: Haktab Omar Traore)
  4. 45+4′Jack Mcglynn · Goal
  5. 57′Eric Junior Bocat · Goal (assist: Lamine Cissé)
  6. 58′Stephy Mavididi · Substitution (off: Rocco Vata)
  7. 58′Othmane Maamma · Substitution (off: Amin Nabizada)
  8. 65′Lamine Cissé · Substitution (off: George Hirst)
  9. 69′Iker Bravo · Substitution (off: Luca Kjerrumgaard)
  10. 80′Eric Junior Bocat · Substitution (off: Luca Bombino)
  11. 82′George Hirst · Yellow card
  12. 90′Jack Mcglynn · Substitution (off: Ben Pearson)
  13. 90+1′Amin Nabizada · Goal (assist: Edo Kayembe)
  14. 90+3′Amin Nabizada · Yellow card

Match statistics: Watford v Stoke City

Statistic Watford Stoke City
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 2 6
Total shots 6 18
Shots off target 2 8
Blocked shots 2 4
Corners 5 8
Fouls 14 6
Offsides 0 3
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 1
Passes 380 545

Line-ups: Watford v Stoke City

Watford 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 F. Ravaglia 6.7
  2. 3 S. Coulibaly 6.6
  3. 4 K. Keben 5.3
  4. 5 H. Kyprianou 6.2
  5. 6 M. Pollock 6.3
  6. 7 O. Maamma 6.3
  7. 17 Iker Bravo 6.2
  8. 20 M. Doumbia 6.4
  9. 33 J. Zemura 6.0
  10. 39 E. Kayembe 5.8
  11. 45 S. Mavididi 5.9
Substitutes (8)
  1. 9 L. Kjerrumgaard 6.5
  2. 11 R. Vata 6.7
  3. 18 M. Antonio
  4. 21 Amin Nabizada 6.8
  5. 23 O. Traoré 6.1
  6. 24 S. Walker
  7. 26 D. Bachmann
  8. 56 Albert Eames

Stoke City 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 V. Johansson 6.7
  2. 2 B. Johnson 6.6
  3. 5 L. Graham 7.1
  4. 7 J. McGlynn 8.2
  5. 8 E. Galbraith 7.2
  6. 11 L. Cissé 7.7
  7. 13 J. Devenny 6.9
  8. 16 B. Wilmot 6.9
  9. 17 E. Bocat 8.2
  10. 27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 6.6
  11. 40 M. Talovierov 7.1
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 B. Pearson
  2. 9 R. Boženík
  3. 15 G. Hirst 6.1
  4. 19 T. Rigo
  5. 21 L. Bombino 6.8
  6. 23 B. Gibson
  7. 24 J. Griffiths
  8. 42 M. Manhoef
  9. 43 F. Anderson

Form and head-to-head: Watford v Stoke City

Watford

WLLDL

Stoke City

DWWLD

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Watford wins: 0; draws: 0; Stoke City wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Stoke City 3–1 Watford English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Watford v Stoke City

A. Dionisi
WatfordManagerA. Dionisi
M. Robins
Stoke CityManagerM. Robins

Match information: Watford v Stoke City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
7
City
Watford
Surface
grass
Capacity
21,400