Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons in English League One ended 3:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Wycombe at 43.1% - the match finished 3:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Wycombe X 2 · Milton Keynes Dons Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.6% 25.3% 24.1% Home win · Wycombe ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.1% 23.3% 33.5% Home win · Wycombe ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Wycombe ✘ Missed
Final score 3:3 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.27 on a Wycombe win, 3.45 on the draw and 2.90 on a Milton Keynes Dons win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Wycombe win 2.27 2.31 Dafabet 44.1% 43.1%
Draw 3.45 3.63 Pinnacle 29% 23.3%
Milton Keynes Dons win 2.90 3.00 Unibet 34.5% 33.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.77 1.80 10Bet 56.5% 56.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.00 2.05 Betfair 50% 43.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.61 1.63 Unibet 62.1% 57.3%
Both teams to score - No 2.18 2.30 Betfair 45.9% 42.7%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

  1. 11′Dan Casey · Goal (assist: Caolan Boyd-Munce)
  2. 31′Ewan Henderson · Goal
  3. 36′Alex Gilbey · Yellow card
  4. 41′Aaron Collins · Yellow card
  5. 45′Daniel Barlaser · Substitution (off: Dan Crowley)
  6. 45′Ryan Barnett · Substitution (off: Callum Paterson)
  7. 51′Aaron Collins · Goal (assist: Callum Paterson)
  8. 55′Callum Paterson · Goal (assist: Aaron Collins)
  9. 59′Curtis Nelson · Goal (assist: Dan Crowley)
  10. 60′Malik Mothersille · Substitution (off: Silko Thomas)
  11. 73′Alex Gilbey · Substitution (off: Ben Wiles)
  12. 73′S. Parker · Substitution (off: Emre Tezgel)
  13. 73′Aaron Collins · Substitution (off: Samuel Silvera)
  14. 74′Jayden Wareham · Goal (assist: Silko Thomas)
  15. 79′Cauley Woodrow · Substitution (off: Josh Scowen)
  16. 84′Marvin Ekpiteta · Yellow card

Match statistics: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

Statistic Wycombe Milton Keynes Dons
Possession 55% 45%
Shots on target 7 5
Total shots 9 12
Shots off target 0 4
Blocked shots 2 3
Corners 5 5
Fouls 9 18
Offsides 1 4
Yellow cards 0 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 4
Passes 373 303

Line-ups: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

Wycombe 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 C. Boyd-Munce 7.1
  2. 12 C. Woodrow 6.4
  3. 15 J. Wareham 7.8
  4. 17 D. Casey 7.5
  5. 20 E. Henderson 6.6
  6. 22 Sam Parker 6.1
  7. 23 C. Hazard 6.2
  8. 26 C. Taylor 6.6
  9. 29 M. Mothersille 6.0
  10. 44 F. Onyedinma 6.3
  11. 45 A. Hagelskjær 5.7
Substitutes (6)
  1. 1 Mikki Avelon Leander van Sas
  2. 4 J. Scowen 5.9
  3. 5 A. Morley
  4. 11 Silko Amari Otieno Thomas 6.7
  5. 19 E. Tezgel 6.4
  6. 27 S. Cook

Milton Keynes Dons 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 C. MacGillivray 6.2
  2. 2 G. Jones 6.4
  3. 4 D. Barlaser 5.5
  4. 8 A. Gilbey 6.3
  5. 9 S. Nombe 6.5
  6. 10 A. Collins 7.5
  7. 15 C. Bramall 5.2
  8. 19 R. Barnett 6.0
  9. 21 M. Ekpiteta 6.1
  10. 24 R. Wintle 6.1
  11. 35 C. Nelson 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 7 D. Crowley 5.7
  2. 13 C. Paterson 7.8
  3. 17 S. Silvera 6.5
  4. 23 W. Dennis
  5. 26 B. Wiles 6.6
  6. 28 J. Matete
  7. 32 J. Sanders

Form and head-to-head: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

Wycombe

WLLDD

Milton Keynes Dons

DLDDD

English League One standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

M. Duff
WycombeManagerM. DuffNorthern Ireland
P. Warne
Milton Keynes DonsManagerP. Warne

Match information: Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 5