Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons in English League One ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Wigan at 43.7% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Wigan X 2 · Milton Keynes Dons Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 43.4% 27.4% 29.2% Home win · Wigan ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.7% 23.3% 33.1% Home win · Wigan ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Milton Keynes Dons ✘ Missed
Final score 3:1 Home win · Wigan
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.37 on a Wigan win, 3.38 on the draw and 2.83 on a Milton Keynes Dons win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Wigan win 2.37 2.45 Betfair 42.2% 43.7%
Draw 3.38 3.52 Pinnacle 29.6% 23.3%
Milton Keynes Dons win 2.83 2.95 Dafabet 35.3% 33.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.82 1.87 Betfair 54.9% 58.1%
Under 2.5 goals 1.95 2.05 Pinnacle 51.3% 41.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.64 1.68 Unibet 61% 57.4%
Both teams to score - No 2.14 2.20 Betfair 46.7% 42.6%
Updated: 02.09.2026 16:26 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

  1. 8′Finley Burns · Yellow card
  2. 18′Jack Sanders · Yellow card
  3. 22′Luke Harris · Substitution (off: Reggie Walsh)
  4. 36′Jensen Weir · Goal (assist: Max Power)
  5. 45′Jack Sanders · Substitution (off: Marvin Ekpiteta)
  6. 45′Ben Wiles · Substitution (off: Alex Gilbey)
  7. 48′Max Power · Goal
  8. 62′Alex Gilbey · Yellow card
  9. 64′Ryan Barnett · Substitution (off: Samuel Silvera)
  10. 64′Daniel Barlaser · Substitution (off: Dan Crowley)
  11. 64′Sam Nombe · Substitution (off: Aaron Collins)
  12. 66′Finley Burns · Substitution (off: Jon Mellish)
  13. 66′Charlie Gray · Substitution (off: Connor Barrett)
  14. 72′Dara James Morgan Costelloe · Yellow card
  15. 74′Dara James Morgan Costelloe · Substitution (off: Bradley Burrowes)
  16. 74′Jensen Weir · Goal (assist: Bradley Burrowes)
  17. 81′Aaron Collins · Goal

Match statistics: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

Statistic Wigan Milton Keynes Dons
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 6 4
Total shots 19 18
Shots off target 7 8
Blocked shots 6 6
Corners 5 5
Fouls 11 11
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 2
Passes 338 406

Line-ups: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

Wigan 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 M. Fox 6.9
  2. 5 F. Burns 6.1
  3. 6 J. Weir 8.7
  4. 7 F. Murray 6.8
  5. 8 M. Power 8.7
  6. 9 S. Perkins 6.4
  7. 11 D. Costelloe 6.7
  8. 13 L. Harris 6.2
  9. 18 Charlie Gray 6.0
  10. 23 J. Carragher 6.3
  11. 41 J. Whitworth 6.5
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 J. Walsh
  2. 2 C. Barrett 6.3
  3. 10 R. Walsh 6.4
  4. 16 Archie Harris
  5. 19 C. Sze
  6. 22 J. Mellish 6.5
  7. 27 B. Burrows 6.9

Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 C. MacGillivray 5.6
  2. 4 D. Barlaser 6.6
  3. 5 C. Goode 6.3
  4. 9 S. Nombe 6.6
  5. 13 C. Paterson 6.4
  6. 15 C. Bramall 6.3
  7. 19 R. Barnett 6.1
  8. 24 R. Wintle 6.0
  9. 26 B. Wiles 5.8
  10. 32 J. Sanders 5.6
  11. 35 C. Nelson 5.8
Substitutes (7)
  1. 2 G. Jones
  2. 7 D. Crowley 6.1
  3. 8 A. Gilbey 5.7
  4. 10 A. Collins 7.6
  5. 17 S. Silvera 6.5
  6. 21 M. Ekpiteta 6.2
  7. 23 W. Dennis

Form and head-to-head: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

Wigan

DLLLW

Milton Keynes Dons

DDDDD

English League One standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

G. Caldwell
WiganManagerG. Caldwell
P. Warne
Milton Keynes DonsManagerP. Warne

Match information: Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 4
Venue
DW Stadium
City
Wigan
Surface
grass
Capacity
25,138