Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos

1:2

Full time

Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos in J-League Cup ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Montedio Yamagata at 38.8% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Montedio Yamagata	X	2 · Yokohama F. Marinos	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	32.2%	29.4%	38.4%	Away win · Yokohama F. Marinos	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	38.8%	25.9%	35.3%	Home win · Montedio Yamagata	✘ Missed
Data Providers	10.0%	45.0%	45.0%	Away win · Yokohama F. Marinos	✔ Correct
Final score	1:2			Away win · Yokohama F. Marinos

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 4.56 on a Montedio Yamagata win, 3.77 on the draw and 1.63 on a Yokohama F. Marinos win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Montedio Yamagata win	4.56	4.75 Betfair	21.9%	38.8%
Draw	3.77	4.00 Bet365	26.5%	25.9%
Yokohama F. Marinos win	1.63	1.65 Pinnacle	61.3%	35.3%
Over 2.5 goals	1.71	1.75 Pinnacle	58.5%	49.3%
Under 2.5 goals	2.03	2.10 Betfair	49.3%	50.7%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.73	1.80 Bet365	57.8%	53.6%
Both teams to score - No	1.99	2.05 Betfair	50.3%	46.4%

Updated: 29.09.2026 07:29 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos

10′S. Miidera · Substitution (off: T. Kondo)
12′A. S. Disaro · Yellow card
43′R. Nitta · Penalty
45+2′K. Sakamoto · Yellow card
46′Thalisson · Substitution (off: A. Kawai)
57′H. Nodake · Yellow card
60′T. Kondo · Yellow card
61′R. Yokoyama · Substitution (off: K. Mori)
65′K. Matsumura · Goal (assist: R. Miyaichi)
68′T. Yamada · Substitution (off: H. Sugii)
68′K. Yanagimachi · Substitution (off: R. Kawana)
70′R. Nitta · Substitution (off: D. David)
70′R. Miyaichi · Substitution (off: D. Tono)
73′T. Kimura · Yellow card
74′Yoshio Kaina · Substitution (off: T. Terayama)
77′K. Suwama · Substitution (off: S. Fujii)
77′T. Kimura · Substitution (off: T. Inoue)
87′H. Nodake · Substitution (off: S. Kokubu)
87′R. Yamane · Substitution (off: T. Kida)
90+1′S. Horikane · Goal (assist: R. Kawana)

Form and head-to-head: Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos

Montedio Yamagata

LWLLW

3 Oct 2026AOita Trinita1–2L
26 Sep 2026HSagan Tosu2–0W
19 Sep 2026HKataller Toyama0–2L
13 Sep 2026AAlbirex Niigata0–1L
9 Sep 2026ATochigi SC1–0W

Yokohama F. Marinos

WDWDL

19 Sep 2026HMito Hollyhock2–0W
12 Sep 2026AMachida Zelvia1–1D
6 Sep 2026AKashiwa Reysol2–0W
2 Sep 2026HKyoto Sanga1–1D
29 Aug 2026AUrawa2–3L

J-League Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos

Kick-off: Tue 29 Sep · 10:00
Competition: J-League Cup
Round: Round of 64
Venue: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
City: Yamagata
Surface: grass
Capacity: 20,772