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AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

English League One
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Full time
Wigan

AFC Wimbledon v Wigan in English League One ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · AFC Wimbledon at 42.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · AFC Wimbledon X 2 · Wigan Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 48.5% 26.9% 24.6% Home win · AFC Wimbledon ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.9% 23.2% 33.9% Home win · AFC Wimbledon ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Wigan ✘ Missed
Final score 1:0 Home win · AFC Wimbledon
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.11 on a AFC Wimbledon win, 3.22 on the draw and 2.26 on a Wigan win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
AFC Wimbledon win 3.11 3.21 Pinnacle 32.2% 42.9%
Draw 3.22 3.31 Pinnacle 31.1% 23.2%
Wigan win 2.26 2.33 Unibet 44.2% 33.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.07 2.13 Pinnacle 48.3% 61.3%
Under 2.5 goals 1.72 1.75 Pinnacle 58.1% 38.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.79 1.81 Marathonbet 55.9% 60.4%
Both teams to score - No 1.92 2.00 Betfair 52.1% 39.6%
Updated: 30.08.2026 04:08 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

  1. 12′A. Higgins · Substitution (off: A. Harris)
  2. 21′A. Harris · Yellow card
  3. 22′G. Caldwell · Yellow card
  4. 25′J. Mellish · Yellow card
  5. 45+3′J. Weir · Yellow card

Match statistics: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

Statistic AFC Wimbledon Wigan
Possession 41% 59%
Shots on target 1 2
Total shots 6 9
Shots off target 3 6
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 5 7
Fouls 9 6
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 0 3
Saves 2 1
Passes 154 226
Pass accuracy 68% 80%

Line-ups: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 Steve Seddon 7.3
  2. 6 Ryan Johnson 6.9
  3. 7 James Tilley 6.3
  4. 9 Jayden Stockley 6.0
  5. 10 Zack Nelson 6.7
  6. 12 Alistair Smith 6.5
  7. 20 Joe McDonnell 6.3
  8. 21 Myles Hippolyte 6.3
  9. 26 Dan Sweeney 7.0
  10. 29 Aron Sasu 6.3
  11. 33 Isaac Ogundere 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 Nathan Bishop
  2. 2 Steven Sessegnon
  3. 5 Ollie Harrison
  4. 8 Callum Maycock
  5. 17 Andy Yiadom
  6. 19 Donnell McNeilly
  7. 30 Junior Nkeng

Wigan 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Joe Walsh 7.3
  2. 2 Connor Barrett 6.9
  3. 5 Finley Burns 6.9
  4. 6 Jensen Weir 6.3
  5. 8 Max Power 6.9
  6. 9 Sonny Perkins 5.9
  7. 10 Reggie Walsh 7.2
  8. 11 Dara Costelloe 6.9
  9. 17 Akeel Higgins 6.5
  10. 22 Jon Mellish 7.0
  11. 23 James Carragher 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 4 Jeremiah Mullen
  2. 13 Luke Harris
  3. 15 Llyton Chapman
  4. 16 Archie Harris 6.2
  5. 18 Charlie Gray
  6. 19 Chris Sze
  7. 21 K'Marni Miller

Form and head-to-head: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

AFC Wimbledon

WWLLD

Wigan

DLWLW

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

J. Jackson
AFC WimbledonManagerJ. Jackson
G. Caldwell
WiganManagerG. Caldwell

Match information: AFC Wimbledon v Wigan

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 3
Venue
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
9,300