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Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

English League One
Burton Albion
4:1
Full time
AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon in English League One ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Burton Albion at 58.9% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Burton Albion X 2 · AFC Wimbledon Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 48.7% 25.6% 25.7% Home win · Burton Albion ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 58.9% 20.2% 20.8% Home win · Burton Albion ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Burton Albion ✔ Correct
Final score 4:1 Home win · Burton Albion
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.11 on a Burton Albion win, 3.25 on the draw and 3.48 on a AFC Wimbledon win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Burton Albion win 2.11 2.20 Pinnacle 47.4% 58.9%
Draw 3.25 3.45 Unibet 30.8% 20.2%
AFC Wimbledon win 3.48 3.80 Dafabet 28.7% 20.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.08 2.17 Pinnacle 48.1% 54.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.71 1.79 Unibet 58.5% 45.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.81 1.87 Superbet 55.2% 49.3%
Both teams to score - No 1.90 2.00 Betfair 52.6% 50.8%
Updated: 02.09.2026 16:26 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

  1. 18′Jayden Stockley · Goal (assist: James Tilley)
  2. 28′George Evans · Goal
  3. 34′Alistair Smith · Own goal
  4. 46′Charlie Webster · Goal (assist: Kyran Lofthouse)
  5. 61′Donnell McNeilly · Substitution (off: Aron Sasu)
  6. 61′Zack Nelson · Substitution (off: Callum Maycock)
  7. 61′Dan Sweeney · Substitution (off: Steven Sessegnon)
  8. 65′George Evans · Substitution (off: Joe Cameron Lewis)
  9. 65′Will Collar · Substitution (off: Kain Adom)
  10. 72′Andy Yiadom · Yellow card
  11. 76′Caylon Vickers · Goal (assist: Sulyman Krubally)
  12. 81′Caylon Vickers · Substitution (off: Emeka Adeile)
  13. 83′Jack Armer · Yellow card
  14. 90+1′Jack Armer · Substitution (off: H. Araujo)
  15. 90+1′Kyran Lofthouse · Substitution (off: Zac Scutt)

Match statistics: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

Statistic Burton Albion AFC Wimbledon
Possession 35% 65%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 10 19
Shots off target 3 9
Blocked shots 2 6
Corners 4 7
Fouls 8 14
Offsides 1 3
Yellow cards 1 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 2
Passes 432 413

Line-ups: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 J. Armer 6.3
  2. 4 K. Chauke 6.4
  3. 6 T. Sibbick 6.1
  4. 8 C. Webster 7.9
  5. 12 G. Evans 7.5
  6. 14 W. Collar 6.3
  7. 15 K. Lofthouse 6.2
  8. 26 F. Delap 6.9
  9. 34 C. Addai 6.6
  10. 41 Sulyman Krubally 7.2
Substitutes (6)
  1. 20 J. Sraha
  2. 23 Emeka Adeile 6.2
  3. 24 Harvey Araujo
  4. 27 K. Dudek
  5. 31 J. Lewis 6.6
  6. 40 Zac Scutt

AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 3 S. Seddon 6.5
  2. 6 R. Johnson 6.1
  3. 7 J. Tilley 7.6
  4. 9 J. Stockley 8.2
  5. 10 Z. Nelson 6.2
  6. 12 A. Smith 5.6
  7. 17 A. Yiadom 6.1
  8. 19 Donnell McNeilly 6.7
  9. 20 J. McDonnell 5.8
  10. 21 M. Hippolyte 5.6
  11. 26 D. Sweeney 6.0
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 N. Bishop
  2. 2 S. Sessegnon 5.7
  3. 5 O. Harrison
  4. 8 C. Maycock 5.9
  5. 18 Delano McCoy-Splatt\t
  6. 29 A. Sasu 6.3
  7. 33 I. Ogundere

Form and head-to-head: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion

LDLWD

AFC Wimbledon

WWWLD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

G. Bowyer
Burton AlbionManagerG. Bowyer
J. Jackson
AFC WimbledonManagerJ. Jackson

Match information: Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 4