Ajax v Sion in Europa Conference League ended 5:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Ajax v Sion
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ajax at 43.7% - the match finished 5:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Ajax
X
2 · Sion
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
51.3%
24.4%
24.3%
Home win · Ajax
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
43.7%
20.3%
36.0%
Home win · Ajax
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Ajax
✔ Correct
Final score
5:3
Home win · Ajax
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.32 on a Ajax win, 5.47 on the draw and 7.22 on a Sion win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Ajax win
1.32
1.40Betano
75.8%
43.7%
Draw
5.47
6.00Dafabet
18.3%
20.3%
Sion win
7.22
8.301xBet
13.9%
36%
Over 2.5 goals
1.30
1.37Pinnacle
76.9%
71%
Under 2.5 goals
3.22
3.40Bet365
31.1%
29%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.52
1.57Betfair
65.8%
67%
Both teams to score - No
2.36
2.40William Hill
42.4%
33%
Updated: 27.08.2026 15:54 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Ajax v Sion
1′⚽Y. Baas · Goal
18′⚽W. Boteli · Goal
23′🔄Y. Regeer · Substitution (off: J. Mokio)
36′⚽W. Boteli · Goal
39′⚽D. Klaassen · Goal (assist: L. Rosa)
45+1′⚽T. Arokodare · Goal (assist: A. Ouazane)
46′🔄S. Berghuis · Substitution (off: O. Edvardsen)